How can we reduce that 70% to 40%?
I bet if we lose to Atalanta, Agresti will say Pirlol aka The Thesis has a 40% chance of staying.
30% that he's gone is still a nice chunk of change
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If you like playing with 9 men.
Actually, make that 8 as Arthur can barely walk, let alone run.
Fortunately, it's unrealistic.