I'm pretty sure the numbers in terms of casualties & ICU are correct, but the number of infections obviously isn't. Afaik, you'd need to multiply it by 10.
As for the hospitals: apparently we have 1900 available ICU beds, with the ability to increase the number if necessary, so that's somewhat reassuring at least.
From what I know, there haven't been any mass gatherings anywhere over here for the last few days. Stores have implemented clear rules, etc. But you can't avoid everything obviously. A (big?) number of people is still carrying out jobs, both essential and non- essential, where close contact can not be avoided.
I think we need to realise that it is impossible to take measures right now that are 100% effective, it's way too late for that. But that doesn't necessarily have to be a problem: 80 or 90% could/should be enough.
The thing that will always keep bothering me though, is that it really shouldn't have come to this. I do believe the measures that are being taken right now are useful & necessary. But, by definition, you're taking these measures because you didn't act when you had the chance to. It's too late now to solve the issue, so everyone is just scrambling to make it less disastrous.
I'm well aware of risk management & the likes (at least, I should be, it's part of my job
), so I know there's no such thing as zero risks. But I can't shake the feeling that in this case the risks were seriously misinterpreted, on a global level.