Mafia 2018! (21 Viewers)
- Thread starter Fred
- Start date
so far.
Lots happening here, hopefully I’ll have some time in the evening to go through it more thoroughly. So it all rests on tonight’s lynch and/or if maybe the BG can prevent a whacking. Could someone make a summary post of how the votes went down in the past 3 days? If not I’ll get to it later got a lot of shit to revise.
Kinda depressing that we lost a C by autolynch.
Kinda depressing that we lost a C by autolynch.
ok, so we have a recruited jailer the next day to deal with. at least there is a next day and we have tons of clues from finally whacking a G, we'll survive that.
if he catches a C, it means auto lose - yeah and there's a big possibility he'll do that, out of 12 players left, he has to pick between 11 and catch one of the 4/5 Gs. but if we allow the Gs to manipulate us around again, we surely won't lynch a G, without a clear plan where all the Cs go in one direction we stand no chance. I'm not saying this is a plan that will work 100% - I think we have ~40% chance of success to survive this day with this plan. but I don't see any other option where we stand a chance to lynch a G, they've been outplaying us the whole game, nothing will change tonight, the Cs are too divided and confused. I now I am, at this point I couldn't pick a single member and say that I'm convinced that this one is a civilian.
how could someone pretend to be a jailer? if jailer reveals himself via jailing the next alive member in participant list, there's not much anyone can do to pretend to be him.
if he catches a C, it means auto lose - yeah and there's a big possibility he'll do that, out of 12 players left, he has to pick between 11 and catch one of the 4/5 Gs. but if we allow the Gs to manipulate us around again, we surely won't lynch a G, without a clear plan where all the Cs go in one direction we stand no chance. I'm not saying this is a plan that will work 100% - I think we have ~40% chance of success to survive this day with this plan. but I don't see any other option where we stand a chance to lynch a G, they've been outplaying us the whole game, nothing will change tonight, the Cs are too divided and confused. I now I am, at this point I couldn't pick a single member and say that I'm convinced that this one is a civilian.
how could someone pretend to be a jailer? if jailer reveals himself via jailing the next alive member in participant list, there's not much anyone can do to pretend to be him.
The smart play would be to wait until tomorrow to recruit someone since that means an automatic win with 0 risk unless we get a G today.
I’m torn between ALC and Klin. What makes this super difficult is if we’ve actually just been arguing between lynching Cs that means the Gs didn’t even have to vote in a tactical manner.
Radekas also is very like himself from the past game where he was a G...
I’ll start this off as I left it yesterday with a vote against Klin
For now....
I’m torn between ALC and Klin. What makes this super difficult is if we’ve actually just been arguing between lynching Cs that means the Gs didn’t even have to vote in a tactical manner.
Radekas also is very like himself from the past game where he was a G...
I’ll start this off as I left it yesterday with a vote against Klin
For now....
Exactly why the jailer cant revel himself, we have no idea if they recruited or bot
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yes, please, do not reveal yourself with a post, that defeats the whole purpose of what I've been saying 
I'm confused with the timing - is it 14:17 CET at this point? We have roughly 3.5 hours till jail time?
I'm confused with the timing - is it 14:17 CET at this point? We have roughly 3.5 hours till jail time?
yes, please, do not reveal yourself with a post, that defeats the whole purpose of what I've been saying I'm confused with the timing - is it 14:17 CET at this point? We have roughly 3.5 hours till jail time?
I'm confused with the timing - is it 14:17 CET at this point? We have roughly 3.5 hours till jail time?
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Exactly why the jailer cant revel himself, we have no idea if they recruited or bot
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If the jailer would post his vote casually and then revealed himself via jailing, we'd have a vote that we know is coming from a civilian, that we could group around united.
The Gs, however many they may be, 4 or 5, have enough man power to swing any vote in their favor unless the Cs are 100% united. First day it took 5 votes, second day it took 4 votes to lynch. If we divide our powers (and we will without a clear leadership, judging by the activity today, someone will probably not even cast his vote) and again there are 4 or 5 votes needed to lynch, no way in hell we're lynching a G, Gs will just outnumber those who guessed right and the game will end today.
The other option is for the lawyer to save the C that we're lynching tonight and hope that the 2nd place is a G. This is achievable if most Cs guess right and are united, but it'd need a hell of a judgement call from the lawyer and a very good argument from someone reliable (sorry Tomice, it might not be you) to gather enough votes for 2nd place. There's always the risk of people switching right before deadline Jethro style and I'm not sure lawyer could pull this off.
The Gs, however many they may be, 4 or 5, have enough man power to swing any vote in their favor unless the Cs are 100% united. First day it took 5 votes, second day it took 4 votes to lynch. If we divide our powers (and we will without a clear leadership, judging by the activity today, someone will probably not even cast his vote) and again there are 4 or 5 votes needed to lynch, no way in hell we're lynching a G, Gs will just outnumber those who guessed right and the game will end today.
The other option is for the lawyer to save the C that we're lynching tonight and hope that the 2nd place is a G. This is achievable if most Cs guess right and are united, but it'd need a hell of a judgement call from the lawyer and a very good argument from someone reliable (sorry Tomice, it might not be you
) to gather enough votes for 2nd place. There's always the risk of people switching right before deadline Jethro style and I'm not sure lawyer could pull this off.
If the jailer would post his vote casually and then revealed himself via jailing, we'd have a vote that we know is coming from a civilian, that we could group around united.
The Gs, however many they may be, 4 or 5, have enough man power to swing any vote in their favor unless the Cs are 100% united. First day it took 5 votes, second day it took 4 votes to lynch. If we divide our powers (and we will without a clear leadership, judging by the activity today, someone will probably not even cast his vote) and again there are 4 or 5 votes needed to lynch, no way in hell we're lynching a G, Gs will just outnumber those who guessed right and the game will end today.
The other option is for the lawyer to save the C that we're lynching tonight and hope that the 2nd place is a G. This is achievable if most Cs guess right and are united, but it'd need a hell of a judgement call from the lawyer and a very good argument from someone reliable (sorry Tomice, it might not be you) to gather enough votes for 2nd place. There's always the risk of people switching right before deadline Jethro style and I'm not sure lawyer could pull this off.
The Gs, however many they may be, 4 or 5, have enough man power to swing any vote in their favor unless the Cs are 100% united. First day it took 5 votes, second day it took 4 votes to lynch. If we divide our powers (and we will without a clear leadership, judging by the activity today, someone will probably not even cast his vote) and again there are 4 or 5 votes needed to lynch, no way in hell we're lynching a G, Gs will just outnumber those who guessed right and the game will end today.
The other option is for the lawyer to save the C that we're lynching tonight and hope that the 2nd place is a G. This is achievable if most Cs guess right and are united, but it'd need a hell of a judgement call from the lawyer and a very good argument from someone reliable (sorry Tomice, it might not be you
) to gather enough votes for 2nd place. There's always the risk of people switching right before deadline Jethro style and I'm not sure lawyer could pull this off.
A) assuming jailer has not been recruited
B) assuming it’s actually the jailer and not a G acting as a jailer
C) assuming the jailer knows what he’s doing and is actually suspecting a G
There are just too many variables. Our best option is to look at vote patterns and posts,, try to find out who’s making sense and who’s talking bs. We already know Gs are offing vets so there has to be a veteran among them. And then agreeing on one target and hoping for the best
The lawyer could prolong the game by saving today’s lynch target, but how shitty would it be if he turns out to be a G. That’s all assuming the lawyer hasn’t been recruited...
a) why would the Gs recruit during last night and what are the chances they land a jailer?
b) how can a G or anyone impersonate the jailer if the jailer reveals himself via jailing?
c) none of us civilians know what we're doing, we're on a civilian killing spree even if the jailer is a real monkey, I'd rather take 4/11 or 5/11 odds than what we have at this point.
you really think 4/5 Gs with all the information won't convince 6/7 Cs with no information to go after the wrong target? voting patterns is nice and dandy if a G ever was in trouble, but in neither of the days a G was ever in trouble, it's just shooting in the dark
about the last part - if lawyer saves someone, does the 2nd place get lynched? @Fred
b) how can a G or anyone impersonate the jailer if the jailer reveals himself via jailing?
c) none of us civilians know what we're doing, we're on a civilian killing spree
even if the jailer is a real monkey, I'd rather take 4/11 or 5/11 odds than what we have at this point.you really think 4/5 Gs with all the information won't convince 6/7 Cs with no information to go after the wrong target? voting patterns is nice and dandy if a G ever was in trouble, but in neither of the days a G was ever in trouble, it's just shooting in the dark
about the last part - if lawyer saves someone, does the 2nd place get lynched? @Fred
how can a G impersonate the jailer if the jailer reveals himself via jailing?
and none of us civilians know what we're doing, we're on a civilian killing spree even if the jailer is a real monkey, I'd rather take 4/11 or 5/11 odds than what we have at this point.
and none of us civilians know what we're doing, we're on a civilian killing spree
even if the jailer is a real monkey, I'd rather take 4/11 or 5/11 odds than what we have at this point.