I simply can't see how that will work for such a long period. With all that unemployment and loss of income, people will be unable to afford basic necessities, social unrest sounds like a mild way to imagine the inevitable outcome.
Would it be feasible instead of starting and stopping lockdowns indefinitely, for countries to start ramping up their health care capacities*, gradually easing restrictions as the capacities increase until the systems can manage society returning to as regular as possible, while keeping the elderly and at-risk quarantined? Obviously it's not so simple, but to me it sounds preferable to attempting to run a country indefinitely at a fraction of it's prior economic level. This can't go on much longer.
*Build semi-permanent structures equipped solely for Covid-19. Other existing health care facilities will be kept for the regular health care.
I don't know if it's logistically impossible, or if it's just politically unpopular to tell the masses to go on with their lives as usual at their own risk.
Would it be feasible instead of starting and stopping lockdowns indefinitely, for countries to start ramping up their health care capacities*, gradually easing restrictions as the capacities increase until the systems can manage society returning to as regular as possible, while keeping the elderly and at-risk quarantined? Obviously it's not so simple, but to me it sounds preferable to attempting to run a country indefinitely at a fraction of it's prior economic level. This can't go on much longer.
*Build semi-permanent structures equipped solely for Covid-19. Other existing health care facilities will be kept for the regular health care.
I don't know if it's logistically impossible, or if it's just politically unpopular to tell the masses to go on with their lives as usual at their own risk.
i'm no expert in epidemiology, but it's clear to me that the korean method works. i mean not the north korean full denial, but the south korean "test everyone" method. they had a rough 2 weeks around late february, early march, but they managed to stop the curve, and keep their death rate pretty low because their health system wasn't overloaded. now they have ~100 new cases in a 50m country (murica had 25k new cases for a population of ~330m), that's a rate any european country or the us would be willing to accept. test, test, test, and if someone's positive, send him home, then test again in 2 weeks. hospitalize those who need a ventilator. wear a mask and gloves. rinse and repeat indefinitely, and accept that you can't save anyone.
