Coronavirus (COVID-19 Outbreak) (191 Viewers)

Ronn

#TeamPestoFlies
May 3, 2012
19,632
It’s a royal mess. Interesting that the “socialist” healthcare systems have been so much more effective and aggressive in diagnosing and trying to control this virus.
It is early, but I really don’t see any correlation. England has universal healthcare but their response is probably the slowest. Sweden is not exactly fast either. The only success story here is South Korea.
 

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Dostoevsky

Tzu
Administrator
May 27, 2007
88,454
Been listening to a woman whos major is molecular biology while she's working in Milano in a research center of some sort. Apparently, her colleague's wife works in a hospital and was tested positive, so chances are big that he has it as well (they didn't even want to test him), she got it too, so she was told to go home for 2 weeks. Too many info so I'll narrow it down as much as possible.

- people don't realize how easy it spreads mostly because majority carries a virus for 7-14 days without realising since they don't have any symptoms and feel great. Within that period they literally infect hundreds which causes chaos later on.
- hospitals in Italy are literally filled with people while outside are tents where they select patients for treatments. Majority of the people who are sick are home since they don't have the capacity, so patients can't be taken care of unless it's a hard condition
- unexpectedly many patients (15-20%) require intensive care and usually age doesn't make a difference here since there are young people on respirators. They had some 38yo marathon runner who was on a respirator for three weeks, meaning, had it not been for a great facility he would have died as well, which is a huge problem for lesser countries
- there's a law forbidding to go outside at this point UNLESS your company gave you a card with authorisation. So, if police or military stops you and you don't have that, chances are huge you're getting a big fine. Same goes for even small groups in a park that meet, they can all get fined. They did allow going to the shop and pharmacy, unlike in China where troops bring you food and medicine on your door, not allowing to go outside
- Milan is not a huge trouble but in Bergamo the only sound you hear is church bells and ambulance going around the town as streets are empty.
- Death rate is far from being certain and known especially because those 2-3% include a great health care and intensive care (intensive care usually lasts for THREE weeks, so one "machine" is stuck with one person for 3 weeks, which is a huge trouble for countries) and, without it, % would be higher. Also, since it's a new virus, everybody can get infected. Some will have mild condition, some medium but it seems that 20% gets pneumonia. If world/country doesn't stop walking, going outside, the numbers with pneumonia will be out of control
- It depends on the country but for example Germany has a lot of beds in the intensive care so they can afford the luxury to get more patients, Italy was totally unprepared for such a huge wave
- Italy is getting huge help from private donations (they got 1.2 million from Armani, D&G, Inter, Milan... ) otherwise they'd be even more fucked up. At this point their economy is based only on health, opening temporary hospitals in order to fight it
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,254
You sure? I heard many times that when you get a virus you won't get it again (not related for corona only but generally).

Oh and I heard there was a baby born with corona in the UK? I thought babies couldn't catch one. Also, I had no idea that pregnant women have weaker immune system.
that’s not true for any other coronavirus
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,254
There has to be some kind of resistance, at least some, because otherwise I don't know how the virus would even end. The cycle would just repeat all over if those who're recovered got corona again.

btw :Dhttps://www.imdb.com/title/tt0114069/
well, people don still catch the prior coronaviruses. they’re just not a prevalent

but assuming covid-19 is like dengue without hard science behind it instead of assumption is a very stupid and dangerous game to play
 

AFL_ITALIA

MAGISTERIAL
Jun 17, 2011
29,754
I did find this:
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-...id-19-twice-sick-spread-relapse-a9400691.html

If you recover from the new coronavirus, do you have immunity?

To date, there have been more than 5,000 deaths from coronavirus globally. However, most people infected with Covid-19 virus have mild disease and recover, according to the World Health Organisation (WHO) .

According to Li QinGyuan, director of pneumonia prevention and treatment at China Japan Friendship Hospital in Beijing, those who have been infected with Covid-19 develop a protective antibody - but it isn’t clear how long the protection lasts.
"However, in certain individuals, the antibody cannot last that long," Li told USAToday. "For many patients who have been cured, there is a likelihood of relapse."

In children, it is currently believed that the virus causes the development of “at least short-term immunity”.

“No one knows for sure, but most children likely develop at least short-term immunity to the specific coronavirus that causes Covid-19,” Dr Peter Jung, an assistant professor of pediatrics at the University of Texas Medical School at Houston told The Huffington Post. “But just as the flu can mutate, so could Covid-19, which would make an individual susceptible to reacquiring the infection.”

However, according to Dr Stephen Gluckman, an infectious diseases physician at Penn Medicine and the medical director of Penn Global Medicine, who spoke to the outlet, it seems likely that having the disease once results in immunity in most individuals - as is seen with other coronaviruses.

“Coronaviruses aren’t new, they’ve been around for a long, long time and many species - not just humans - get them,” he explained. “So we know a fair amount about coronaviruses in general. For the most part, the feeling is once you’ve had a specific coronavirus, you are immune. We don’t have enough data to say that with this coronavirus, but it is likely.”

This means that people who initially recovered are more likely to relapse rather than get reinfected with the virus.

According to one study, people with mild infections can test positive for the virus by throat swabs “for days and even weeks after their illness”.

But, that doesn’t mean it isn’t possible to contract the disease again, especially in those who are immunocompromised.

“The immune response to Covid-19 is not yet understood,” the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) explains. “Patients with MERS-CoV infection are unlikely to be reinfected shortly after they recover, but it is not yet known whether similar immune protection will be observed for patients with Covid-19.”

While further studies are needed to understand whether it is possible for an individual to be reinfected with new coronavirus, experts recommend those who have been infected follow the hygiene steps outlined by CDC, which include staying away from people who are sick, frequently washing hands, and covering coughs and sneezes.
 

Boksic

Senior Member
May 11, 2005
13,464
looks like the UK government decided to commit genocide on its own people.
Not really.

It is potentially a very effective solution. The logic is based on scientific advice they have received and appears to be that once a certain amount of people get it a resistance will be formed, people develop antibodies and there will be nobody to pass it on.

Hugely risky as there is the risk that the virus mutates and you no longer have the resistance but in the long run it could work.

Personally as a UK resident I'd prefer an approach which prevents anybody catching it. I like NZ's and Israels tactic that anybody arriving from outside the country is quarantined for 14 days, as an island it could be very effective. I suppose long term that isn't sustainable if a vaccine is not developed though.

Given that nobody seems to be able to control it who knows what is the best way to deal with this.
 

Dostoevsky

Tzu
Administrator
May 27, 2007
88,454
Not really.

It is potentially a very effective solution.
The logic is based on scientific advice they have received and appears to be that once a certain amount of people get it a resistance will be formed, people develop antibodies and there will be nobody to pass it on.

Hugely risky as there is the risk that the virus mutates and you no longer have the resistance but in the long run it could work.

Personally as a UK resident I'd prefer an approach which prevents anybody catching it. I like NZ's and Israels tactic that anybody arriving from outside the country is quarantined for 14 days, as an island it could be very effective. I suppose long term that isn't sustainable if a vaccine is not developed though.

Given that nobody seems to be able to control it who knows what is the best way to deal with this.
But letting it infect 50-60% of the population seems crazy as it would wipe out so many of the old folks :shifty: can't really fight it in that case.
 

Fab Fragment

Senior Member
Dec 22, 2018
3,281
Not really.

It is potentially a very effective solution. The logic is based on scientific advice they have received and appears to be that once a certain amount of people get it a resistance will be formed, people develop antibodies and there will be nobody to pass it on.

Hugely risky as there is the risk that the virus mutates and you no longer have the resistance but in the long run it could work.

Personally as a UK resident I'd prefer an approach which prevents anybody catching it. I like NZ's and Israels tactic that anybody arriving from outside the country is quarantined for 14 days, as an island it could be very effective. I suppose long term that isn't sustainable if a vaccine is not developed though.

Given that nobody seems to be able to control it who knows what is the best way to deal with this.
Israel and NZ have small populations and controllable borders. Very diffucult to do this in the UK or USA.
 

acmilan

Plusvalenza Akbar
Nov 8, 2005
10,685
There are 4 Coronaviruses that have passed into humans and become seasonal things. You don’t get long term immunity after getting any of them, so it’s hard to believe it would happen with this one either, outside maybe a brief window immediately after recovery.

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Trump is just such a fuckwit. And while his support base is a bunch of ignoramuses, so many that should have known better just went along for the ride and turned a blind eye to one outrage after another.
Hey, at least they didn't vote for the warmongering female with an email account.
 

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