Coronavirus (COVID-19 Outbreak) (72 Viewers)

GordoDeCentral

Diez
Moderator
Apr 14, 2005
70,876
I'm not sure that's any better than the average New Yorker cover, honestly.



Is it any wonder all the governors are going, "F%#% this sh%$. We're going commando."?



Biden is basically a Petri dish. As long as the Democrats can keep it alive and make its lips move in the lab, they feel that's a better shot at a working, functional president than Trump. They'd be right, but the bar is so low.



The US would massacre someone like Newsom. Even if his ex-wife's birthday party got tons of Republicans CV-19 in Florida, he's a former SF mayor, governor of Cali ... things wide swaths of America despise on principle.


Pro life
Pro gun
Pro wrestling



Won't need to. Nature's swamp will reclaim it with climate change in a few years... so no worries.



:lol: OK, I liked that.



It's a good and reasonable vision. Smart of them to share it in advance too. Nobody else has had the balls to, strangely.

There will be freak-outs (how's a restaurant supposed to stay afloat with half tables empty, etc.), but I dare someone to put up or shut up and propose some better, realistic options.



It fits Trump's modus operandi of being America's AIDS -- basically seeking out and destroying every semblance of an immune system America has to viruses and disease.

Still, if you're gonna crap on WHO, you have to look at the 194 clowns who put commerce and travel ahead of health with it in the first place:

https://pandemic.substack.com/p/the-2005-decision-that-made-the-2020

It's untenable and unsurprising.
Deflection, deflection, and more deflection.
 

Seven

In bocca al lupo, Fabio.
Jun 25, 2003
39,352
Is it any wonder all the governors are going, "F%#% this sh%$. We're going commando."?
Ironically that means the American democracy is more stable than you'd think. As an outsider looking in, it seems as if America is about to fall any minute now. But mostly it's just antics from a lunatic president. Even if the commander in chief is an idiot, there are still many very capable people in the government as a whole, on all sorts of levels.

- - - Updated - - -

In other news, California has outlined a plan to re-open within the next month.
And this is why all this panic is silly. You have to reopen at some point. Nothing much will really have changed though. Hell, we don't even know if people who recovered from it are immune yet.

There is nothing that has been rational about our response. Nothing.
 

KB824

Senior Member
Sep 16, 2003
31,789
The reason why California is able to even think about opening up parts of the state right now is because they were well ahead of the curve in regards to self quarantine and social distancing. If other states had followed suit, this would have been more controlled than what it is.

Which is also why Gavin Newsom could very well be President in 2024. The rest of the country is indeed watching how he has handled this.
 

acmilan

Plusvalenza Akbar
Nov 8, 2005
10,722
Iran's IRGC unveiling a COVID-19 detector

It's a fake bomb detector they're unveiling
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-29459896
If it is such a magical device, how come they didn't use it to disinfect the interview area, so they didn't have to wear masks?
But that's the typical BS propaganda one should expect from a regime. Probably looking to sell people a false sense of security before they reopen the country.

I wonder what futuristic device/cure our authoritarian leader will try to sell Americans to justify reopening the US at the end of April? Or maybe he already has - hydroxychloroquine :klin:
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,668
Ironically that means the American democracy is more stable than you'd think. As an outsider looking in, it seems as if America is about to fall any minute now. But mostly it's just antics from a lunatic president. Even if the commander in chief is an idiot, there are still many very capable people in the government as a whole, on all sorts of levels.

- - - Updated - - -



And this is why all this panic is silly. You have to reopen at some point. Nothing much will really have changed though. Hell, we don't even know if people who recovered from it are immune yet.

There is nothing that has been rational about our response. Nothing.
ah, so you agree that shutting down temporarily was the right thing to do. Good to hear.
 

Post Ironic

Senior Member
Feb 9, 2013
42,253
The reason why California is able to even think about opening up parts of the state right now is because they were well ahead of the curve in regards to self quarantine and social distancing. If other states had followed suit, this would have been more controlled than what it is.

Which is also why Gavin Newsom could very well be President in 2024. The rest of the country is indeed watching how he has handled this.
:tup:

It’s the same up here in British Columbia.
 

acmilan

Plusvalenza Akbar
Nov 8, 2005
10,722
The reason why California is able to even think about opening up parts of the state right now is because they were well ahead of the curve in regards to self quarantine and social distancing. If other states had followed suit, this would have been more controlled than what it is.

Which is also why Gavin Newsom could very well be President in 2024. The rest of the country is indeed watching how he has handled this.
Wow, I almost fell of my chair trying to imagine the US having a competent individual for President, and not a homicidal, narcissistic muppet ...
Got me dreaming there for a moment, Serge!
 

KB824

Senior Member
Sep 16, 2003
31,789
Wow, I almost fell of my chair trying to imagine the US having a competent individual for President, and not a homicidal, narcissistic muppet ...
Got me dreaming there for a moment, Serge!
I'm a Republican, but real recognize real here.

Andrew Cuomo has been getting all of the facetime, but Newsom has been doing the best job by far of any Governor.
 

acmilan

Plusvalenza Akbar
Nov 8, 2005
10,722
I'm a Republican, but real recognize real here.

Andrew Cuomo has been getting all of the facetime, but Newsom has been doing the best job by far of any Governor.
I know you generally vote Republican. This being said, iirc, you also bothered to go and vote for Killery at the last elections, or at least I think I saw you saying so.
That earned you a ton of respect from me.
There are moments when party lines and political convictions should just be brushed aside ...

I like Cuomo, New York has been hit the hardest but that city offers a very different dynamic to cope with. This being said, until I see any different, Newsom is who'd like to see lead this country, asap.
 

KB824

Senior Member
Sep 16, 2003
31,789
I know you generally vote Republican. This being said, iirc, you also bothered to go and vote for Killery at the last elections, or at least I think I saw you saying so.
That earned you a ton of respect from me.
There are moments when party lines and political convictions should just be brushed aside ...

I like Cuomo, New York has been hit the hardest but that city offers a very different dynamic to cope with. This being said, until I see any different, Newsom is who'd like to see lead this country, asap.

At the risk of losing respect, I didn't vote for Hillary. I would have never voted for her. I didn't vote for Trump either. I voted for Evan McMullin
 

acmilan

Plusvalenza Akbar
Nov 8, 2005
10,722
Read in a german source that contrary to our intuition the higher the number of unknown cases is the better, because if those stealth cases aren't reported that means they are doing well which increases the probability of asymptomatic cases and lowers mortality rate. Experts mentioned factor of 10 unknown/known for Germany in particular
That's how you make stats work for you. Unfortunately, the only way to really determine that is indiscriminate testing, including testing for antibodies, since many people, who were infected but had little to no symptoms, are likely cured/not infectious, at this point. Very few countries or US states have that sort of testing capacity, even at this point in the pandemic, and it is still very questionable how accurate the latest tests are. Earlier in the pandemic, the accuracy of the tests used was highly questionable. Since then there have been reports about new tests with supposedly better accuracy and yielding faster results. Most countries in the world, including the US, are still struggling to acquire these new tests and bring their testing capacity to adequate levels. And this concerns just the tests that check for covid infection. The antibody tests are a different matter altogether.
Point is, it may be many months before a country like the US stumbles its way to finally being in position to get a better understanding of mortality rate and levels of infection for the covid pandemic.
Hopefully the likes of Germany, South Korea, etc would fare better in that regard and we, the US, can copy their findings.

This is an example of why building up a proper testing capacity and creating accurate tests, as early as possible in the pandemic, was so important. Having not just enough but also correct data, ultimately determines the best course of action.

This being said, a lower mortaity rate for covid doesn't, or shouldn't, necessarily change the way the pandemic is handled. Even if we assume covid's mortality rate to be about the same that of seasonal flu (0.1%), covid is (likely) much more infectious due to two factors - 1) a much longer incubation period than seasonal flu (1-2 weeks vs 1-2 days) and 2) lack of pre-existing immunity in the general population, unlike is the case with seasonal flu.

Why is that a problem? Because a small percentage of a very large number is still a large number. For example, 0.1% of say 100 mil infected in the US alone, a number of total infections that can be reached very quickly without any counter measures, is still 100K dead over a period of a few weeks. And this is just the expected number of deaths, the number of people, who'd require hospitalization will be much, much higher. Over a relatively short period of time, such numbers would still overwhelm the health care system in most countries/states.

Once the health-care system is overwhelmed, many people, who would have otherwise survived, would end up dying because they would not receive the necessary care under a collapsed health-care system. So this back-feeding could result in the death-toll going up to 150-200K, if not higher, when all is said and done.
And this pretty much the best-case scenario, where I assumed covid-19 to have the same death rate as that of seasonal flu.

- - - Updated - - -

At the risk of losing respect, I didn't vote for Hillary. I would have never voted for her. I didn't vote for Trump either. I voted for Evan McMullin
:tup:
No respect lost there. I can understand a republican not voting for Hillary. I blame democrats who didn't find her exciting enough or moderates/independents who, for whatever the f*ck reason, thought Hillary and Trump were on the same level.

Speaking of Evan McMullin ...

 
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Post Ironic

Senior Member
Feb 9, 2013
42,253
That's how you make stats work for you. Unfortunately, the only way to really determine that is indiscriminate testing, including testing for antibodies, since many people, who were infected but had little to no symptoms, are likely cured/not infectious, at this point. Very few countries or US states have that sort of testing capacity, even at this point in the pandemic, and it is still very questionable how accurate the latest tests are. Earlier in the pandemic, the accuracy of the tests used was highly questionable. Since then there have been reports about new tests with supposedly better accuracy and yielding faster results. Most countries in the world, including the US, are still struggling to acquire these new tests and bring their testing capacity to adequate levels. And this concerns just the tests that check for covid infection. The antibody tests are a different matter altogether.
Point is, it may be many months before a country like the US stumbles its way to finally being in position to get a better understanding of mortality rate and levels of infection for the covid pandemic.
Hopefully the likes of Germany, South Korea, etc would fare better in that regard and we, the US, can copy their findings.

This is an example of why building up a proper testing capacity and creating accurate tests, as early as possible in the pandemic, was so important. Having not just enough but also correct data, ultimately determines the best course of action.

This being said, a lower mortaity rate for covid doesn't, or shouldn't, necessarily change the way the pandemic is handled. Even if we assume covid's mortality rate to be about the same of seasonal flu (0.1%), covid is (likely) much more infectious due to two factors - 1) a much longer incubation period than seasonal flu (1-2 weeks vs 1-2 days) and 2) lack of pre-existing immunity in the general population, unlike is the case with seasonal flu.

Why is that a problem? Because 0.1% of say 100 mil infected in the US alone, a number that can be reached very quickly without any counter measures, is still 100K dead over a period of a few weeks. And this is just the expected number of deaths, the number of people, who'd require hospitalization will be much, much higher. Over a relatively short period of time, such numbers would still overwhelm the health care system in most countries/states.

Once the health-care system is overwhelmed, many people, who would have otherwise survived, would end up dying because they would not receive the necessary care under a collapsed health-care system. So this back-feeding could result in the death-toll going up to 150-200K, if not higher, when all is said and done.

- - - Updated - - -


:tup:
No respect lost there. I can understand a republican not voting for Hillary. I blame democrats who didn't find her exciting enough or moderates/independents who, for whatever the f*ck reason, thought Hillary and Trump were on the same level.

Speaking of Evan McMullin ...

Our resident epidemiology expert from Belgium says all these epidemiologists are dead wrong and containment measures don’t work in the slightest. ;)
 

Seven

In bocca al lupo, Fabio.
Jun 25, 2003
39,352
ah, so you agree that shutting down temporarily was the right thing to do. Good to hear.
Not necessarily. Unlike most people on this forum I can think of people as capable and still disagree with them.

This childlike splitting behaviour PI demonstrates for example reminds me of a teenage girl who is trying to find out who she is. And people who disagree with her must be bad and must be punished through dislikes.

It's not how the world works. Adults can disagree with someone and still think of them as intelligent, because they have the capacity to try and understand where the other person is coming from.

Their reasoning is a bit more complex than Trump = bad.

Verstuurd vanaf mijn ONEPLUS A6003 met Tapatalk
 

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