Statistically, in the last 10 years its exactly 50/50. If we only count quarter finals and semi finals, because we can assume that the two sides are even on average, 30/60 times the home team in the first leg qualified.
I think we should rather look at our own record with Allegri and we have done quite well when we've played the first leg at home. We beat both Real Madrid and Barcelona.
Good draw, I did not want to get Ajax because they are somehow an unknown entity and they have a huge energy boost in beating Real. We also tend to be complacent when the opponent is not as big. Let's hope we have really learned lessons and go for the matches in the right mentality.
City or Tottenham afterwards? hmmm everything was made so that City and barca would not meet before the final? Let's make sure they won't meet at all.
Overall the draw was good and as many said meeting Liverpool or City later is an advantage. If we make it past Ajax I still think I'd rather meet City than Tottenham who have all the focus on the CL:
If we play to our standards, they should have a hell of a time containing us. We will surely struggle with their offense and youth, but we have tricky players that if playing in top gear, will for sure complicate deligth and co.
Ajax is a good draw and the game plan to beat them is exactly like we played the 2nd leg. Bar from city and Barca no team has the technical know how to play against that kind of pressure.
We murdered the best defence In the world the only thing left to worry is the one game final against probably barcelona if we don't score an own goal or some Juve final jinx, I think CR smells the CL trophy already and I think we got this one.
I would be surprised if they do drop out of top 4, but with 3 losses and a draw in their last 4 Premshit games Spurs definitely have to be more careful and concentrated on the league. Also their next Premshit game is away at Liverpool and would also have to visit Man City twice in a row in space of 4 days so things could get very ugly for them real quick.
One of Chelsea and Arsenal would eventually sacrifice a game or two in the League and look for a ticket for CL by winning the Europa League, there`s a possibility of a Chelsea - Arsenal final, if Spurs and United lock down the top 4 along with City and Pool, that would be some final - winner gets a trophy and a CL spot, loser gets to play in Europa League again next season.
Why because they scored 10 past schalke 7 of them at home? We got forwards In serie A who play better defence than that group. city will try to put 9999 passes together and our pressing will cut their throats simple as that. All we got to worry is individual brilliance from likes of Aguero but titi-kaka is no match. Barca is the only real worry for a final but I can see them choke too because of our press.
Can't believe some are doubting this. Not that I think we're 100% going through nor I think we should let our guard down, no, certainly not, but draw went in our favor. If we can't beat fucking Ajax then we don't deserve to be in this competition, let alone win it.
I think we'll enter this match with a cold brain and pull our best. I don't expect many goals as we'll play a lot safer than against Atletico in the second match. I expect us going through quite easily, though.
It's silly to wish we drew City or any other match where stress level and pressure would be a lot higher.
If we go out we'll got only ourselves to blame. Not ref, not draw, not slippery pitch, but ourselves.