Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,007
Fuck_my_mother.

This is a seriously bad ice storm on the way. The center of the low will pass right over the Northern Mid-Atlantic and it appears we will be below freezing for the duration of the event. We're talking an inch of ice looking at the short-term NAM model here.

I wouldn't be surprised to be without power for a couple days after this storm. I'm hoping not as much warm air overrides the area so that the precip type can remain as sleet, but that very rarely happens in these sort of events around here.

Lots of structural damage on the way as well.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,007
Couple days without power? :O
Not shitting you. In the storm of '93 we had about a half inch of ice accumulate on the power lines and trees, eventually knocking out power for 48 hours at my house. The temperature inside fell to 50, apparently. This storm has the potential to be worse despite not being nearly as strong -- and the reason for it is that we still have leftover snow from the previous storm stuck to the trees with more on the way overnight. Anywhere over a half inch of freezing rain begins to cause severe damage to property, not to mention the dangerous conditions on roadways and elderly folks without power.

Philly will see a lot of freezing rain and sleet, but you may change over to plain rain on Wednesday. My area -- not so lucky.
 

ALC

Ohaulick
Oct 28, 2010
46,527
Holy crap! Never seen icing like that before.

It's starting to snow a bit here also. Oh well, about to go stock up on some beef jerky lol
 
OP
ßöмßäяðîëя
Apr 12, 2004
77,165
  • Thread Starter
  • Thread Starter #162,733
    Burkey, would you tap his widow?
    Hell, I would tap his body now...
    Fuck_my_mother.

    This is a seriously bad ice storm on the way. The center of the low will pass right over the Northern Mid-Atlantic and it appears we will be below freezing for the duration of the event. We're talking an inch of ice looking at the short-term NAM model here.

    I wouldn't be surprised to be without power for a couple days after this storm. I'm hoping not as much warm air overrides the area so that the precip type can remain as sleet, but that very rarely happens in these sort of events around here.

    Lots of structural damage on the way as well.
    When is it going to start for me?
    Couple days without power? :O
    Silliness, yo, straight silly.
    Already got a dusting of snow. More on the way before it changes to freezing rain sometime tomorrow midday.
    WHEN IS IT GOING TO START FOR ME?

    ...and how bad?
     

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,007
    ßöмßäяðîëя;2874116 said:
    Hell, I would tap his body now...

    When is it going to start for me?

    Silliness, yo, straight silly.


    WHEN IS IT GOING TO START FOR ME?

    ...and how bad?
    It depends on how much warm air works into your area, both at the surface and wedging ~1km up into the atmosphere. Chances are you'll stay colder than predicted at the surface and have more warm air advection further up than we will, so you'll probably have mostly freezing rain, little sleet. That's bad news. You may get around a half inch of freezing rain accumulation, which means you have a good chance of power failure issues. The heaviest precip in the core of the storm will be North of you, in my view. Depending on the track, if the low moves more North than thought, you may get above freezing for longer on Wednesday and that would be good news. So because of this I'm thinking the jackpot for ice accumulation will be Southern PA, right in my fucking goddamn asshole.

    Starts for you between 6 and noon tomorrow.
     

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,007
    Bjerknes, whats this I hear about a blizzard in chicago?
    Yeah, it's going to be insane up there, very jealous of what they'll receive. They are actually in the midst of a very complex situation where they are on the backend of a low pressure system heading Northeast from the Southern states that will contain a lot of Gulf moisture with it. But the storm will be so intense that it will whip up winds originating from the North, slamming into Chicago over Lake Michigan, thus creating a Lake Effect Snow enhancement. So basically, the Chi will have snow coming at them from all angles. A perfect storm for blizzard conditions.

    Enjoy it, Deneb.
     
    OP
    ßöмßäяðîëя
    Apr 12, 2004
    77,165
  • Thread Starter
  • Thread Starter #162,738
    It depends on how much warm air works into your area, both at the surface and wedging ~1km up into the atmosphere. Chances are you'll stay colder than predicted at the surface and have more warm air advection further up than we will, so you'll probably have mostly freezing rain, little sleet. That's bad news. You may get around a half inch of freezing rain accumulation, which means you have a good chance of power failure issues. The heaviest precip in the core of the storm will be North of you, in my view. Depending on the track, if the low moves more North than thought, you may get above freezing for longer on Wednesday and that would be good news. So because of this I'm thinking the jackpot for ice accumulation will be Southern PA, right in my fucking goddamn asshole.

    Starts for you between 6 and noon tomorrow.
    Word, thanks, holmes like John.
     

    Kasaki

    Moggi's Assistant
    Jun 1, 2010
    13,750
    Yeah, it's going to be insane up there, very jealous of what they'll receive. They are actually in the midst of a very complex situation where they are on the backend of a low pressure system heading Northeast from the Southern states that will contain a lot of Gulf moisture with it. But the storm will be so intense that it will whip up winds originating from the North, slamming into Chicago over Lake Michigan, thus creating a Lake Effect Snow enhancement. So basically, the Chi will have snow coming at them from all angles. A perfect storm for blizzard conditions.

    Enjoy it, Deneb.
    :cry: I'm in chicago right now
     

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