The Official Weather Thread: Andy's Haven (8 Viewers)

Bjerknes

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
#1
Mar 16, 2004
116,146
#1
Well, one of Andries' favorite topics is back. Another Hurricane is about to smash into New Orleans only three years after Hurricane Katrina. You can't write this stuff. I have no idea how well Louisiana is prepared, but what I do know is that I'm looking at a storm that is obviously strengthening. The cyclone's pressure is falling, the eye wall is going through it's usual rejuvenation process with it's eye becoming more profound, so that tells us the storm is getting stronger right before landfall. Not good.

New Orleans will most likely be situated on the Northeastern side of the storm (first quadrant on your 2-dimensional x&y coordinate system), which is always the worst part of any Hurricane. If it breaches into a Category 4 hurricane we might see a disaster worse than what was seen in Hurricane Katrina. But thankfully, most of the population has evacuated. As far as I know, this has been one of the biggest evacuations in American history - 2.5 million people on the roads.
 

Buy on AliExpress.com
OP
Bjerknes

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Thread Starter #2
Mar 16, 2004
116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #2
    You lot in Europe are really lucky you don't have to deal with weather such as this. Gustav makes your windstorms look like dancing around during a May shower with a flower in your hands.
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #4
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #4
    Waiting for the forecast update at 11pm.

    One thing that might be good for NO is that the storm is starting to make that Westward turn. They might get lucky here.
     
    Red

    Red

    -------
    Moderator
    #5
    Nov 26, 2006
    47,024
    #5
    So just how powerful is Gustav, as hurricanes go?

    You say it could go to Category 4, but how does that compare to Katrina or other major storms?
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #6
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #6
    juve red said:
    So just how powerful is Gustav, as hurricanes go?

    You say it could go to Category 4, but how does that compare to Katrina or other major storms?
    Click to expand...
    Hurricane Katrina was a Category 4 at landfall. The highest category possible is a Cat 5 which consists of about 160mph winds or greater. This cyclone Gustav on the Saffir-Simpson scale is a Cat 3 with about 125mph sustained winds. In terms of damage, once you get up to a Cat 4, you have pretty much catastrophic damage, but really it does depend on your geographical location and how much storm surge (wind pushed water) you have to deal with.

    Gustav is weaker than Katrina right now... but it may be worse than Katrina for New Orleans as the strongest quadrant of the storm will impact them.

    They escaped the doomsday part of Katrina by about 50 miles in tracking so they might be lucky again with this one. We'll see.
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #7
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #7
    Strongest Hurricane on record was either Camille or Andrew. 165mph winds. Katrina had about 150. Gustav has 125. But still, it's not good.
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #8
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #8
    Canardo, how hard do you think this storm will hit the oil pits on Tuesday?
     
    Red

    Red

    -------
    Moderator
    #9
    Nov 26, 2006
    47,024
    #9
    No wonder they have chosen to evacuate this time round then.

    Why did they not evacuate for Katrina? A case of underestimating the strength of the hurricane or was there just no plans in place for an evacuation prior to Katrina?
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #10
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #10
    :lol2: They're showing the Sheraton Hotel in downtown NO, and their bar is ready and open for business. They're serving drinks and partying it up. :lol2:

    juve red said:
    No wonder they have chosen to evacuate this time round then.

    Why did they not evacuate for Katrina? A case of underestimating the strength of the hurricane or was there just no plans in place for an evacuation prior to Katrina?
    Click to expand...
    They did have evac orders in place but many people didn't evacuate for various reasons (stubbornness, money situation, etc), and they had the stadium open to people who stayed behind. This year, they do not have any shelters and had a better plan to usher people out of the city.

    They better have had that, because last time was horrendous.

    We'll see how it goes this time around.
     
    OP
    Bjerknes

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Thread Starter #11
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,146
  • Thread Starter
    • Thread Starter #11
    Looking good in the past two hours for the same worries as we had earlier: possible Cat 4 with first quad slamming into NO.

    Eye formation looking solid.
     
    Seven

    Seven

    In bocca al lupo, Fabio.
    #16
    Jun 25, 2003
    39,343
    #16
    LetsBrushYourTeeth said:
    Well, one of Andries' favorite topics is back. Another Hurricane is about to smash into New Orleans only three years after Hurricane Katrina. You can't write this stuff. I have no idea how well Louisiana is prepared, but what I do know is that I'm looking at a storm that is obviously strengthening. The cyclone's pressure is falling, the eye wall is going through it's usual rejuvenation process with it's eye becoming more profound, so that tells us the storm is getting stronger right before landfall. Not good.

    New Orleans will most likely be situated on the Northeastern side of the storm (first quadrant on your 2-dimensional x&y coordinate system), which is always the worst part of any Hurricane. If it breaches into a Category 4 hurricane we might see a disaster worse than what was seen in Hurricane Katrina. But thankfully, most of the population has evacuated. As far as I know, this has been one of the biggest evacuations in American history - 2.5 million people on the roads.
    Click to expand...
    Let's face it, Hollywood made it impossible for you guys to react rationally to things like these. I mean, just look at the mayor's statement. What kind of bullshit is that? There's no need to scare everyone like that. Say you want them out of the town because something bad might happen. All this talk of the storm of the century is insane. You guys have a panic problem. Evacuating everyone is obviously a good step, but don't be so dramatic, you might scare people.

    Why people should go to prison if they want to remain in their own houses is beyond me. Isn't that what you guys dislike so much about communism?
     
    Seven

    Seven

    In bocca al lupo, Fabio.
    #19
    Jun 25, 2003
    39,343
    #19
    So you think it's okay for government officials to create panic like that instead of giving a solid, rational explanation why everyone should get the fuck out of there? Let's give Americans some credit. I'm sure everyone would leave even if he wasn't all that dramatic.
     
    You must log in or register to reply here.

    Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 0, Guests: 8)