Dreams will be realized and hearts broken for sure this week as we reach the final Matchday of the Champions’ League group stage. At stake is passage to the knockout stages which brings with it a handsome payoff and much prestige. For some clubs, such as Olympiakos, Bayer Leverkusen, Dynamo Kiev, and Paris St. Germain, Matchday 6 represents a real chance to join Europe’s elite clubs in the final sixteen of the world’s premier club competition, with an opportunity to emulate Porto, the surprise winners of last season’s competition. For the likes of Real Madrid, Arsenal, and Porto themselves, the final group stage fixtures are must-win affairs and the pressure on these clubs is enormous given their reputations and high expectations. Failure to advance to the next stage of the Champions’ League will condemn these European heavyweights to the UEFA Cup.
Things get started on Tuesday with action in Groups E-H. And while the top spots in Group F have already gone to AC Milan (12pts) and Barcelona (10pts) (Celtic on 4 points and Shakhtar Donetsk on 3 points are vying for the UEFA Cup spot), the remaining three groups are still wide open.
PSV Eindhoven (10pts) have already assured themselves passage from Group E and don’t need to worry about getting a result when they travel to Athens to face Panathinaikos (6pts). Panathinaikos will be seeking a win against Guus Hiddink’s side and also hope that Rosenborg (2pts) can keep Arsena l (7pts) from winning in England. The stumbling Londoners are one point ahead of the Greeks, and while a draw may be enough to see them through if Panathinaikos falter, surely Arsene Wenger’s men will want to be 100% sure and not rely on the result in Athens.
Inter Milan (11pts) have clinched one of the spots in Group G and will host pointless Anderlecht in a rather meaningless fixture at the San Siro. The other match in the group however is an entirely different proposition altogether. Valencia (7pts) host Werder Bremen (10pts) in a mouth-watering clash that should get the pulses racing. The Spanish side need a victory in order to qualify while Bremen have the luxury of playing for two results, a draw or win will put them into the next stage.
PSG (5 pts), Porto (5pts), and CSKA Moscow (4pts) all have the chance to finish as the second-placed team from Group H. Porto host Chelsea (13pts), who have long since won the group, in former coach Jose Mourinho’s return to Portugal. Even a win though may not be enough to assure qualification to the knockout stage for Porto. If PSG can defeat CSKA Moscow in France, then they will go through instead of Porto, by virtue of a better head-to-head record, sending the defending European club champions crashing out of the competition. In a wide open race for second place, even CSKA could still advance if they can win in Paris and if Porto fail to defeat Chelsea.
On Wednesday evening, clubs in Groups A-D take the stage. Everything is still to be decided in Group A where three teams are vying for the top two places. Olympiakos (10pts), surprise leaders of the group, travel to Anfield to face Liverpool (7pts) who will boosted by the return of Czech striker Milan Baros. Rafa Benitez’s team can only advance with a victory, and that a two-goal victory no less, to ensure qualification. Olympiakos meanwhile, can advance with a win, a draw, or a one-goal loss with an away goal scored (i.e. 2-1, 3-2 etc). If Liverpool win 1-0, the same score that Olympiakos defeated the Merseysiders by on Matchday 2, then qualification for either side could depend on the result of the Deportivo La Coruna-Monaco match. Monaco are on 9 points and a victory will see them advance no matter what happens in England. Still confused? Well this group could become a mathematician’s dream as the top three teams could all finish on 10 points. In that case, the three clubs will have their records between each other tallied up and the top two will move on.
Group B may be more straightforward than Group A, however things will be no less competitive on Wednesday night. Real Madrid (8pts) must defeat Roma (1pt) in an empty Olimpico in order to ensure progress. A draw may get the galactico-filled side through, but then it would depend on the result of the other match in the group between Bayer Leverkusen (8pts) and Dynamo Kiev (10pts). Dynamo need at least a draw in Germany to advance while Leverkusen can go through with victory or a draw; a draw assuming that Real fail to defeat Roma (Leverkusen holds the tie-breaker over Real).
The only thing left to play for in Group C is third spot and the UEFA Cup berth that goes with it. Ajax and Maccabi Tel-Aviv , are both on three points and will host Bayern Munich (9pts) and Juventus (15pts), respectively, the teams that took the group’s top two spots. In the case that Ajax and Maccabi finish even on points then it’s the Dutch side who will go through thanks to a superior head-to-head record.
Finally, Group D offers less excitement than perhaps all of the other groups as everything seems virtually decided here. Only the top spot remains up for grabs as Manchester United (11pts) and Lyon (10pts) have already claimed the two places that lead to the next stage. The UEFA Cup berth has also been decided as Fenerbahce (6pts) will be entering that competition. For the record, United will travel to Turkey to face Fenerbahce on Wednesday evening while Lyon face bottom-club Sparta Prague (1 pt).