Before the injuries I would have bet on Milan, like I did at the start of the season. Simply put, their forwards and their team in general was/is good enough to win a league championship but no chance at Champions League.
They can be counted on to always pick up the points vs. small teams. So much so that their performance against the likes of us, inter, roma is not as important. But now, everything's changed with Pippo and Pato out. Pippo is a guy that can get you points single-handedly when those games against small teams aren't going your way. Not many teams have a guy like that.
In the CL it's another story of course. No chance there.