'Intro' to sports betting (23 Viewers)

[Snoop]

Ok, guys you got me - here's my 'crazy combo':

Nieminen(1.20) v Sanguinetti
Ferrer(1.36) v Lopez
Robredo(1.13) v Novak
Ancic(1.29) v Waske
Safin(1.25) v Saretta
Mathieu(1.33) v Johansson
Ljubicic(1.29) v Kohlschreiber
Acasuso(1.25) v Greul
Gaudio(1.25) v Martin
Grosjean(1.40) v Ginerpi
Gonzalez(1.08) v Tursunov
Simon(1.44) v Rusedski

12-fold: 10.00 @ 17.36 (Stan James)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 34/30/3/4
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 274.75
Pending: 70.00

Bet365: 40.69
Gamebookers: 104.64
Paddy Power: 54.60
Stan James: 34.22
VC Bet: 40.60

 

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[Intro]

James Blake pulled off the shock win I expected but I only won on the modest handicap bet. Will update all of the results at the end of the tennis today.

Adding another:
Chela v VERDASCO: 20.00 @ 2.00 (Stan James)

Don't see why Chela is favourite in this match as at worst it is 50/50 which makes Verdasco a fair price.

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 34/30/3/5
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 254.75
Pending: 90.00

Bet365: 40.69
Gamebookers: 104.64
Paddy Power: 54.60
Stan James: 14.22
VC Bet: 40.60

 

[Intro]

Yeah it's only right since I bombard you guys with the mathematics over these type of bets that I also add them to mine.

So that's 12 events where in each there are 2 possible outcomes meaning:
Total permutations = 2^12 = 4096 Permutations
Winning probability = 1/4096 = 0.0244%

Saying that the first three have all won meaning 25% have been completed - let's see at the end of the day if the bet is still alive - then it can get interesting .

 

[Tino]

Yeah it's only right since I bombard you guys with the mathematics over these type of bets that I also add them to mine.

So that's 12 events where in each there are 2 possible outcomes meaning:
Total permutations = 2^12 = 4096 Permutations
Winning probability = 1/4096 = 0.0244%

Saying that the first three have all won meaning 25% have been completed - let's see at the end of the day if the bet is still alive - then it can get interesting .

but man thats a good tactic!
you make it now like the betting-king Tino, do you ever hear from him??

and Fli , you are the opposite of me...

 

[Intro]

Monday's results:
Moya v BLAKE(+3.5 Games): 20.00 @ 1.80 => 36.00 (Gamebookers)
Chela v VERDASCO: 20.00 @ 2.00 => 40.00 (Stan James)
Ferrer(1.30) x Ljubicic(1.30) x Safin(1.25): 20.00 @ 2.11 => 0.00 (Gamebookers)

Safin ruined a perfect day with a bad defeat. Still one bet pending for tomorrow will include in that in Tuesday's tennis a little later when all the prices are out.

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 36/32/3/1
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 330.75
Pending: 20.00

Bet365: 40.69
Gamebookers: 140.64
Paddy Power: 54.60
Stan James: 54.22
VC Bet: 40.60

 

[Intro]

but man thats a good tactic!
you make it now like the betting-king Tino, do you ever hear from him??

Maybe I'm just not as good as you then . It failed today as 6 out of 7 today won but Safin who was also on another bet lost which just about sums up everything about these types of bets - the risk is multiplied it's so hard to assess where it could fail and inevitably it occurs somewhere you never imagined.

Here's the result to that bet:

Nieminen(1.20) v Sanguinetti
Ferrer(1.36) v Lopez
Robredo(1.13) v Novak
Ancic(1.29) v Waske
Safin(1.25) v Saretta
Mathieu(1.33) v Johansson
Ljubicic(1.29) v Kohlschreiber
Acasuso(1.25) v Greul
Gaudio(1.25) v Martin
Grosjean(1.40) v Ginerpi
Gonzalez(1.08) v Tursunov
Simon(1.44) v Rusedski

I won't be surprised if the remaining 5 go on to win tomorrow now.

 

[swag]

I sincerely hope no usernames of 'Buffon' have shown their faces around this thread...

 

[Intro]

I sincerely hope no usernames of 'Buffon' have shown their faces around this thread...

No the only footballers allowed to post in this thread are those with the gambling intelligence of Wayne Rooney . Then again if someone has allegedly bet up to €2m on football matches than they must only be doing so for greed - in which case it is probably best to check the vCash front-runners here to pick up their trail .

 

[Intro]

Carrying over Wawrinka and adding another two tennis bets for Tuesday:

Tennis, Hamburg:
WAWRINKA v Seppi: 20.00 @ 1.84 (VCBet)
Monfils v MURRAY: 20.00 @ 2.75 (Stan James)
Malisse(1.57) x Grosjean(1.40): 20.00 @ 2.20 (Bet365)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 36/32/3/3
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 290.75
Pending: 60.00

Bet365: 20.69
Gamebookers: 140.64
Paddy Power: 54.60
Stan James: 34.22
VC Bet: 40.60

 

[Intro]

Nieminen(1.20) v Sanguinetti
Ferrer(1.36) v Lopez
Robredo(1.13) v Novak
Ancic(1.29) v Waske
Safin(1.25) v Saretta
Mathieu(1.33) v Johansson
Ljubicic(1.29) v Kohlschreiber
Acasuso(1.25) v Greul
Gaudio(1.25) v Martin
Grosjean(1.40) v Ginerpi
Gonzalez(1.08) v Tursunov
Simon(1.44) v Rusedski

I won't be surprised if the remaining 5 go on to win tomorrow now.

Just rub in salt into those wounds the remainder naturally went on to win.

Nieminen(1.20) v Sanguinetti
Ferrer(1.36) v Lopez
Robredo(1.13) v Novak
Ancic(1.29) v Waske
Safin(1.25) v Saretta
Mathieu(1.33) v Johansson
Ljubicic(1.29) v Kohlschreiber
Acasuso(1.25) v Greul
Gaudio(1.25) v Martin
Grosjean(1.40) v Ginerpi
Gonzalez(1.08) v Tursunov
Simon(1.44) v Rusedski


But it should go as a lesson that these type of bets RARELY win.

 

[Intro]

Correction:
I posted these bets last night before all the odds were out as I wouldn't have time in the morning. But when I took them this morning I got better prices so correcting the accounting:

WAWRINKA v Seppi: 20.00 @ 1.84 => 0.00 (VCBet)
Monfils v MURRAY: 20.00 @ 3.00 => 60.00 (Gamebookers)
Malisse(1.65) x Grosjean(1.45): 20.00 @ 1.45 => 29.00 (VCBet)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 38/33/3/0
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 379.75
Profit: 179.75
Staked: 1353.09
Yield: 13.28%

Bet365: 40.69
Gamebookers: 180.64
Paddy Power: 54.60
Stan James: 54.22
VC Bet: 49.60

 

[Snoop]

Just rub in salt into those wounds the remainder naturally went on to win.

Nieminen(1.20) v Sanguinetti
Ferrer(1.36) v Lopez
Robredo(1.13) v Novak
Ancic(1.29) v Waske
Safin(1.25) v Saretta
Mathieu(1.33) v Johansson
Ljubicic(1.29) v Kohlschreiber
Acasuso(1.25) v Greul
Gaudio(1.25) v Martin
Grosjean(1.40) v Ginerpi
Gonzalez(1.08) v Tursunov
Simon(1.44) v Rusedski


But it should go as a lesson that these type of bets RARELY win.

sure it rarely happens, when it is 12

 

[Intro]

Time to take some money out . Not quite the 200.00 profit but close enough especially as it's nearly a month since the start of the campaign.

Withdrawing 200.00 (actually 0.25 shy of that to keep a nice figure of 180.00 still in-play) as that was the initial start-up capital meaning the amount in the bank is the current in-play profit which is displayed as the 'current bank'. There is another category: 'banked profit' which will be any future withdrawals.

Redistributed the current bank around the 5 accounts:

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 38/33/3/0
Current Bank: 180.00
Banked Profit: 0.00

Bet365: 40.00
Gamebookers: 40.00
Paddy Power: 20.00
Stan James: 40.00
VC Bet: 40.00

 

[Intro]

An aggressive start for the new bank with 3 tennis bets for Wednesday:

ACASUSO v Ljubicic: 20.00 @ 1.80 (Bet365)
SODERLING v Monaco: 20.00 @ 1.62 (Stan James)
Stepanek(1.33) x Nieminen(1.40) x Ferrero(1.25): 20.00 @ 2.33 (Paddy Power)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 38/33/3/3
Current Bank: 120.00
Pending: 60.00

Bet365: 20.00
Gamebookers: 40.00
Paddy Power: 0.00
Stan James: 20.00
VC Bet: 40.00

 

[Intro]

sure it rarely happens, when it is 12

I bet you thought I wouldn't even get close - but close means nothing. Only wins count and that is the difference. I'm glad I didn't win otherwise it would have only encouraged more members to bet in this 'crazy' way .

 

[Snoop]

it was very close, I still can't forget Post 251 man

Actually mulitple bets are great, if you pick no more than 5 or 6 games, and exclude Inter

 

[Intro]

Ok, two of those three tennis bets won so it's up to Acasuso to make it a perfect day for once. Update all the results later on.

Adding another for the CL final:
Too unpredictable to bother trying to call with logic. So a small but fun bet on the hope that the script has been read.

Ronaldinho to score first & 1:0 FT score: 1.00 @ 31.00 (Bet365)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 38/33/3/4
Current Bank: 119.00
Pending: 61.00

Bet365: 19.00
Gamebookers: 40.00
Paddy Power: 0.00
Stan James: 20.00
VC Bet: 40.00

 

[Intro]

Results:

ACASUSO v Ljubicic: 20.00 @ 1.80 => 36.00 (Bet365)
SODERLING v Monaco: 20.00 @ 1.62 => 32.40 (Stan James)
Stepanek(1.33) x Nieminen(1.40) x Ferrero(1.25): 20.00 @ 2.33 => 46.60 (Paddy Power)
Ronaldinho to score first & 1:0 FT score: 1.00 @ 31.00 => 0.00 (Bet365)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 41/34/3/0
Current Bank: 234.00
Banked Profit: 0.00

Bet365: 55.00
Gamebookers: 40.00
Paddy Power: 46.60
Stan James: 52.40
VC Bet: 40.00

 

[Intro]

Great day yesterday in the tennis with all 3 bets winning resulting in 55.00 profit from 60.00 staked which I'd be happy with every day of the week.

Thursday:

SIMON v Mirnyi: 20.00 @ 1.65 (VCBet)
Blake v ANCIC: 20.00 @ 2.38 (Paddy Power)

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Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 41/34/3/2
Current Bank: 194.00
Pending: 40.00

Bet365: 55.00
Gamebookers: 40.00
Paddy Power: 26.60
Stan James: 52.40
VC Bet: 20.00

 

[Snoop]

Good day for you Intro :thumbs:

now that Barcelona won the match in regular time, my "crazy bet" was predicted all right, and only Inter ruined it, and took the possibility of winning 400$ away. Fuck I hate Inter