'Intro' to sports betting (5 Viewers)

[JCK]

Two out of three of my Trixie succeded, one at 1.5 (the under 2.5) and the other at 3.15 (the game is an X); however, the big dough comes tomorrow.

 

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[Intro]

I had bets like those a lot, I remember the last one Inter ruined it against a small team, I was about to win 80$ (against 2 dollars)

it is very risky imo to play it at the moment (end of the season).

I can beat you all guys - I took this bet to try and win my tuition fees for the upcoming year way back at the start of the season:

These are in chronological order:

PSG v Metz @ 1.5 (FT: 4-1)
Le Mans v OLYMPIC LYON @ 1.8 (FT: 1-2)
BAYERN MUNICH (-1.5) v Borrusia Mönch. @ 2.00 (FT: 3-0)
HAMBURGER SV v 1. FC Nürnberg @ 1.6 (FT: 3-0)
WERDER BREMEN v Bielefeld @ 1.45 (FT: 5-2)
SCHALKE 04 v Kaiserslautern @ 1.65 (FT: 2-1)
Everton v MANCHESTER UTD @ 1.85 (FT: 0-2)
ARSENAL v Newcastle @ 1.5 (FT: 2-0)
Wigan v CHELSEA (-1.5) @ 2.05 (FT: 0-1)

£10.00 on 9-fold @ 117.59 to return £1,175.93
Always the last one

 

[Snoop]

Two out of three of my Trixie succeded, one at 1.5 (the under 2.5) and the other at 3.15 (the game is an X); however, the big dough comes tomorrow.

put them in a list Jeeks.

and this too:

Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending):
Starting Bank:
Current Bank:
Pending:

 

[Snoop]

I can beat you all guys - I took this bet to try and win my tuition fees for the upcoming year way back at the start of the season:

These are in chronological order:

PSG v Metz @ 1.5 (FT: 4-1)
Le Mans v OLYMPIC LYON @ 1.8 (FT: 1-2)
BAYERN MUNICH (-1.5) v Borrusia Mönch. @ 2.00 (FT: 3-0)
HAMBURGER SV v 1. FC Nürnberg @ 1.6 (FT: 3-0)
WERDER BREMEN v Bielefeld @ 1.45 (FT: 5-2)
SCHALKE 04 v Kaiserslautern @ 1.65 (FT: 2-1)
Everton v MANCHESTER UTD @ 1.85 (FT: 0-2)
ARSENAL v Newcastle @ 1.5 (FT: 2-0)
Wigan v CHELSEA (-1.5) @ 2.05 (FT: 0-1)

£10.00 on 9-fold @ 117.59 to return £1,175.93
Always the last one

you are crazy man

what did u bet on Chelsea match?

btw you are provoking my mind :devil:

 

[Intro]

you are crazy man

what did u bet on Chelsea match?

btw you are provoking my mind :devil:

Well I shouldn't be as those type of bets are a sure way of money ending back up with a bookie . They are fine as 'fun' bets or those who bet occasionally with only a few coins but if you were to analyse the outgoings of these bets you could save so much money. Here are the mathematical chances of winning that big:

Events|	Permutations | Probability
-----------------------------------
  1   |	   	   3 |   33.333%
  2   |		   9 |   11.111%
  3   |		  27 |   3.704%
  4   |		  81 |   1.235%
  5   |		 243 |   0.412%
  6   |		 729 |   0.137%
  7   |		2187 |   0.046%
  8   |		6561 |   0.015%
  9   |	       19683 |   0.005%
 10   |	       59049 |   0.002%

Those are based on their being 3 outcomes for a 1X2 market and being span across many different matches. OK, this assumes each selection only has a 33% chance of winning when many selections could be seen as larger. But this illustrates when taking muliple bets of that size how many permutations there are.

 

[Intro]

Adding a tennis treble from Barcelona for tomorrow:

Tennis:
Nieminen(1.33) x Robredo(1.33) x Hrbaty(1.45): 20.00 @ 2.56 (VCBet)

----------------------------------------------------------------
Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 15/10/2/2
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 268.00
Pending: 30.00

Bet365: 84.40
Gamebookers: 60.60
Paddy Power: 20.00
Stan James: 52.40
VC Bet: 50.60

 

[Tino]

oh yes snoop I know these TOTO games! But I dont play it!

 

[Zambrotta]

5 dollars on Barcelona @ 1.9

Milan gives 4.35. If I was a Milan fan I would have taken it, if Kaka and Nesta comes back it's a great odds.

 

[Intro]

Result:
Nieminen(1.33) x Robredo(1.33) x Hrbaty(1.45): 20.00 @ 2.56 => 0.00 (VCBet)

Another tennis loss with Albert Costa seemingly wanting to roll back the years. Was looking into taking Calleri over Verdasco but it's been a big losing point this week so unless anything really good appears over the next few days no more from this tournament.

Snooker:
Marco Fu to beat Ken Doherty: 10.00 @ 3.50 => 35.00 (Bet365)

Big shout to Jeeks - thanks mate. int:

----------------------------------------------------------------
Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 16/11/2/0
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 303.00
Profit: 103.00
Staked: 560.00
Yield: 18.39%

Bet365: 119.40
Gamebookers: 60.60
Paddy Power: 20.00
Stan James: 52.40
VC Bet: 50.60

 

[Tino]

hey guys keep it up!

I made a bet over the whole week! 7 games:

ÖrebroSK - Mjällby 1-- 1,25
Halifax - Gravesen 1-- 1,30
HSV Hamburg - Melsungen 1-- 1,15
Ajax - Groningen 1-- 1,30
Galatasaray - Akaraspor 1-- 1,15
EFrankfurt - Bayern München 2-- 1,40
AC Siena - Juventus 2-- 1,30
---------------------------------------
5.08 * 10= 50,80€

I dont know about Juve...

good luck to all of you!

by the way ÖrebroSK is leading first half with 2:0!

looking more and more good for me! only three games left!
muahahaha!

risky snoop???

 

[Snoop]

Nice, I hope Juve won't be the one that will ruin your plans

 

[Snoop]

Who will contest the Champions League Final 2006? (Who will be the finalists?) FC Arsenal - FC Barcelona - 50.00 @ 1.65 = 82.5

I bet all that money on Ronnie (to win the 24th frame) after he was leading 12-11. Live bet btw. 82.50 @ 1.20 = 99

and also played some Casino (the shit is in my blood )


Barca vs milan > 2.5 goals 10@ 2.10

Milan to score a goal [email protected]

Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 3/4/0/0
Starting Bank: 180.00
Current Bank: 240.86
Pending: 0

not bad

 

[Snoop]

looking more and more good for me! only three games left!
muahahaha!

risky snoop???

from the list I am only not sure about bayern Munich, GS and Juve should win easily. Good luck Tino, hope you win

how are you doing Jeeks?

 

[JCK]

Milan not going through did not bring me money on my Trixie, that was the biggest coefficient. However the draw and less than 2.5 brought be back the initial amount and some profit (around 30€).

I played a multiple coupon for the weekend, there are two shaly games in it, Atletico Madrid and Juventus

Cagliari - Parma 1 1.45
Empoli - Inter 2 1.83
AC Milan - Livorno 1 1.18
Siena - Juventus 2 1.40
Valencia - Alavés 1 1.35
Atlético Madrid - Mallorca 1 1.85

A total multiple of 10x and I played a total of 10€.

 

[Snoop]

only the Cagliari one is risky, isn't it?

 

[JCK]

Cagliari have a bigger need for the win than Parma, or not?

 

[Intro]

Cagliari have a bigger need for the win than Parma, or not?

The bookies are usually up with the 'fixes' so following the prices isn't always a bad move. On that coupon I can say with a high certainty it probably won't be the 'shaky' ones that let you down. But that's just the ways these things go. Good luck mate.

 

[Intro]

A big dedication to Jeeks - fantastic insight into the snooker. Spotted an opportunity, explained it well and got me to go for it. Achieved the objective of breaking back into 3-figures porfit after a mediocre tennis week so far. My only regret is not to have played with the 'normal' stakes now. It was also the highest odds winner in this campaign so far.

I'll have one of int: for you tonight or tomorrow maybe . Keep them coming guys - I'll play anything you feel strongly about and if you can articulate it well enough.

Despite a bad tennis week will try another tomorrow which is too good to pass over. Coria has been in real trouble serving and Almagro in good recent form.

Tennis:
Coria v ALMAGRO: 20.00 @ 2.00 (Paddy Power)

----------------------------------------------------------------
Bet Results(Won/Lost/Push/Pending): 16/11/2/0
Starting Bank: 200.00
Current Bank: 283.00
Pending: 20.00

Bet365: 119.40
Gamebookers: 60.60
Paddy Power: 00.00
Stan James: 52.40
VC Bet: 50.60

 

[Snoop]

Cagliari have a bigger need for the win than Parma, or not?

not really, Parma joining the Uefa cup, would be great for them. they are only 2 points behind of Livorno 8th, while cagliari is 4 points away from the relegation zone. I predict a draw :smile:

 

[JCK]

I think the relegation battle is stronger than a UEFA spot that might not be achieved in the end and Cagliari are playing at home where Parma have not impressed away from their stadium.