A few pieces of very bad news this morning.
- The BEA released their advanced estimate of Quarter 1 GDP for 2011, coming in at 1.8%. In Quarter 4 of last year real GDP increased 3.1%. Not a very good number, and with commodity prices continuing to rise we could very well see a negative GDP number this quarter or in the next quarter. Remember, in the Great Depression we had several quarters and years of positive GDP growth.
- Jobless claims last week came in at 429,000, and the previous week's number was revised upwards again by a little over 9,000. Every single week they revise the number upwards, which is quite obviously not statistical error but outright cooking of the numbers. Anything above 400,000 claims in a week is not a sign of improvement in the labor market.
- The FOMC monthly policy statement was released yesterday and the same old nonsense continues. Bernanke and company see limited inflation, the labor market continues to improve, the economic situation continues to improve, they will maintain their zero interest rate policy, and they will continue with their securities purchases up until QE2 is scheduled to end. Everything these clowns wrote is dollar
negative, and the market certainly took it that way. The Dollar Index has been down over 1% in the past day, getting closer to the point of no return from a technical perspective.
- Ben Bernanke conducted a press conference with questions after the FOMC policy statement yesterday. He was asked about whether the FED is pushing gas prices higher, and he responded by saying that a lot of factors move the price of oil and that the FED policy is promoting a strong dollar. Bullshit, you fucking piece of shit. It's all FED policy moving commodity prices higher.
Hell, the RBOB gasoline contract moved four cents higher
while he was talking.
DIAF
