Switzerland and the Czechs are already qualified from the 3rd placed teams. Portugal or whoever comes third in group F will most likely make it too. In that case Finland are out and the last place will be between Ukraine and the third placed team in group E (Spain's group)... let's say it's Slovakia.
If it's Ukraine who make it, this is how the first knockout round will look:
Belgium-Portugal/France
Italy-Austria
----
winner of group F (France/Germany)-Switzerland
Croatia-runner-up in group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
The second half, which will give the second finalist, looks like this:
Winner group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia)-Ukraine
England-runner up group F (Germany, France, Portugal)
-------
Netherlands-Czech Republic
Wales-Denmark
If it's the third in group E who makes it in the 4th best third placed teams, then it's:
Belgium-third placed in E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
Italy-Austria
----
winner of group F (France/Germany)-Switzerland
Croatia-runner-up in group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
--------------------
Winner group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia)-Czech Republic
England-runner up group F (Germany, France, Portugal)
----------
Netherlands-Portugal/France
Wales-Denmark
So, pretty much it's Belgium and the Netherlands who will be interested Ukraine to make it or not. If Ukraine makes it, then Belgium will get France/Portugal. If Ukraine doesn't make it, then the Netherlands get Portugal/France.
If it's Ukraine who make it, this is how the first knockout round will look:
Belgium-Portugal/France
Italy-Austria
----
winner of group F (France/Germany)-Switzerland
Croatia-runner-up in group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
The second half, which will give the second finalist, looks like this:
Winner group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia)-Ukraine
England-runner up group F (Germany, France, Portugal)
-------
Netherlands-Czech Republic
Wales-Denmark
If it's the third in group E who makes it in the 4th best third placed teams, then it's:
Belgium-third placed in E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
Italy-Austria
----
winner of group F (France/Germany)-Switzerland
Croatia-runner-up in group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia, Poland)
--------------------
Winner group E (Sweden, Spain, Slovakia)-Czech Republic
England-runner up group F (Germany, France, Portugal)
----------
Netherlands-Portugal/France
Wales-Denmark
So, pretty much it's Belgium and the Netherlands who will be interested Ukraine to make it or not. If Ukraine makes it, then Belgium will get France/Portugal. If Ukraine doesn't make it, then the Netherlands get Portugal/France.
