If there's a winner between Sweden and Denmark, Italy's through with a win over Bulgaria. A draw between Sweden and Denmark, and Italy needs to beat Bulgaria by more than two goals. A 1-1 draw between Sweden and Denmark and a 2-0 win for Italy would lead to them equal in every tie-breaker category:
Sweden 5 pts 7-2 (+5)
Denmark 5 pts 3-1 (+2)
Italy 5 pts 3-1 (+2)
Bulgaria 0 pts 0-9 (-9)
So then what? Drawing of lots, play-offs, or...? :undecide: