Trump learned from the best.
San Francisco reported only 36 deaths of COVID-19 comparing to NYC’s 15k+. Although their population is much lower even proportionally this doesn’t make sense. Leadership here gets all the praise yet numbers show they fucked up massively.
It's all about timing. When New Rochelle caught fire, NYC was clearly ready to burn. They lost two weeks. And as we've seen in multiple research studies on epidemiological models, two weeks would have cut deaths by 90% if acted upon.
All models are wrong, of course. But some are useful.
thats cause coronavirus is nothing compared to what a Bay Area immune system is exposed to on daily basis.
As a friend once told me, "I don't need a flu shot. I ride Muni."
Today is my first day back at work and honestly I feel very refreshed.
Congrats!
That's totally Goodhart's Law. Massage the numbers to tell the story you want them to tell.
At some point, very soon, this has to switch to a situation where only the most at risk folks continue to quarantine and the rest of us resume normal functions no?
Maybe no concerts or other unnecessary large events but the current situation is unsustainable and it doesn't seem necessary for most of the population. There is no way the situation remains as is for another 18 months or how long it takes to perfect a vaccine
You can't really segment at-risk folks from those less at risk -- unless you plan to break up tens of millions of families and set up internment camps to house millions of people.
Texas is reopened. Today I saw a friend’s photo on Facebook dining in a restaurant. Florida, I think, is open too. It won’t be “normal” normal, since you’ll see masks and all that but restrictions will ease soon.
We're open here. I had a pretty awesome ham and cheese on toast and a SuperBock out at a kiosk while overlooking the river. First time dining out in over two months.
9 or 0? Out of 5000? That variance is 0.2%. There's no way you have a power or test sensitivity with a 0.2% minimum detectable effect with only a 5000 sample size. That's as good as random noise.
That is pretty damn funny, even if it's statistically irrelevant.