[CL] Champions League 2012/13 (14 Viewers)

[Bjerknes]

What probability theory? After the round of 16, all teams can play each other.

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The probability of a team making it to consecutive finals.

 

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[Vinny Del Pogba]

The probability of a team making it to consecutive finals.

And three out of four. Odds are probably against them.

 

[ZoSo]

I don't see it as that unlikely tbh, though I'd bet they'd lose though.

semis: bayern-man utd, juve-barca
final: barca-bayern
winner: barca

not saying it will happen but if I had to bet on semis etc that's what I'd put.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

The probability of a team making it to consecutive finals.

I don't think it's any lower once they've actually reached the first final.

Like flipping a coin. The chances of getting two tails in a row are 1 in 4, but when you've flipped it and got tails, the odds of the next one being tails are back to 1 in 2.

 

[GordoDeCentral]

I don't think it's any lower once they've actually reached the first final.

Like flipping a coin. The chances of getting two tails in a row are 1 in 4, but when you've flipped it and got tails, the odds of the next one being tails are back to 1 in 2.

 

[Bjerknes]

In sports, history says otherwise. If that was the case Real and Barca would reach the final every year. Or Duke, the Patriots, Lakers, whatever.

 

[GordoDeCentral]

they actually do, you are right most of the time you just happen to be wrong here lil bro

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

In sports, history says otherwise. If that was the case Real and Barca would reach the final every year. Or Duke, the Patriots, Lakers, whatever.

Yeah, I guess that's just a mental thing.

 

[jukazem]

If it was last season's team I would have agreed with Andy arguing that other teams would be better prepared for Bayern, Bayern lacking element of surprise and mentally in a bit of doubt in ability to go all the way because they failed last time. But this Bayern is different and better than last season with 1 new top striker Madzukic, 1 new top midfielder J. Martinez and 1 new top defender Dante.

 

[Enron]

Dante was a steal at 4.7M.

 

[jukazem]

Thieves should be banned from football.

 

[GordoDeCentral]

Dante was a steal at 4.7M.

barzagli says hello

 

[Bianconero81]

Barcelona vs Juventus Final

QF and Semis Draw:

(Bayern vs Madrid) VS (Barcelona vs Dortmund)
(PSG vs Porto) VS (Juventus vs Galatasaray)

Semis:

Bayern vs Barcelona
PSG vs Juventus

Final:

Barcelona vs Juventus

 

[ALC]

that's such a shitty road to the final lmao. gala and psg.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

I really wanna play United so bad.

 

[acmilan]

I don't think it's any lower once they've actually reached the first final.

Like flipping a coin. The chances of getting two tails in a row are 1 in 4, but when you've flipped it and got tails, the odds of the next one being tails are back to 1 in 2.

someone just got themselves a new car; and someone else, a new goat ... most likely

 

[ALC]

@matt; Yeah, them, real or dortmund are must plays.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

someone just got themselves a new car; and someone else, a new goat ... most likely

Riddle me this, riddle me that...

@matt; Yeah, them, real or dortmund are must plays.

Dortmund are too difficult for the little props we'd get if we beat them

 

[acmilan]

In sports, history says otherwise. If that was the case Real and Barca would reach the final every year. Or Duke, the Patriots, Lakers, whatever.

nothing to do with probability theory the way you are suggesting. It's all about how difficult it is to make the final in general. When it comes to repeating finals, it's usually harder (which is why, if you follow this trend over a long period of time, in a given year you are more likely to have two new finalists than the year before - less true in European football than say a cap-league like the NFL) but has to do with factors outside probability theory, as TTW suggested (e.g. the human/mental factor of lesser motivation, roster changes that may weaken/strengthen the team in question and/or its opponents, etc, etc).

 

[Bianconero81]

that's such a shitty road to the final lmao. gala and psg.

Hey. Whatever gets us there, right?