Italy - Lithuania was a fantastic game, best in the tournament so far to me. have to say, Valanciunas is a monster, absolutely brilliant center. Kalnietis was amazing, whenever the team needed him, he delivered. the rest of the team was there too. always when Italy was putting pressure on them, always in key possessions when they had to score, they always responded with points, very often with 3s. Italy had their chances to win. they had ~7 seconds, the last possession in regular time when the game was tied, but Gentile handled it very bad. he dribbled the ball into the corner and then played a terrible back pass to Belinelli who was forced to shoot from 10 meters over a Lithuanian player. the key moment in overtime was when Kalnietis hit a 3 after he made an offensive foul on a Italian player, and the refs let the play go on (the refs are generally very bad at this Eurobasket). after that Lithuania closed down the game comfortably.
in the other game, Serbia won but could have closed down the game earlier, if they hadnt struggled a bit in the 3rd quarter. Teodosic had bad shooting percentages, but was nonetheless fantastic, dished out 14 assists mostly leaving his teammates in 1 on 0 situations, and run their offense to perfection. Erceg scored 20 pts off the bench with only 1 missed shot the entire game, Bjelica hit some clutch 3s in 3rd and 4th quarter. Vesely and Satoransky didnt have nearly as much support as they needed on the other side, but both played a fantastic game. did as much as they could, but Serbia is too god for them at the moment.
Spain - France today, another very close game most likely where one possession might decide the winner. Gasol is the most brilliant player in this tournament, and France must slow him down if they want to win. they also have to repeat the defense they had during this entire tournament and their shooting must be on. on the other side, Spain must fill up the paint most of the time and test the 3pt shooting of France. they have to secure the defensive rebound and ofcourse, slow down Parker.
another classic showdown between these rivals, id give France a small advantage due to the home court, but generally it will be a very close game. like in every important matchup, the key is to secure the boards and not turn the ball over. thats a must. after that, it will be important whos bench plays better when the stars are resting, who handles the foul trouble better, who executes free throws better in bonus situations and even what the refs will decide in 50-50 situations. due to the home court advantage mainly, 55-45 for France in this game id say