Merda got 45 possible pts left, we got 51 possible with 11pts down and 2 more matches at hand obviously...
Now In the season merda has drawn 5 and lost 2 and logic says they will draw at least 2-3 more times and lose 1-2 times. Thats 4-6 dropped points from draws plus 3-6 from loses..(4+3) that is a minimum of 7 pts they will drop almost certainly and with one of those matches directly being against us we have a good chance mathematically.
But realistically, the last 17 matches for us needs to be at least 14W-2D-1L otherwise chances are slim unless merda dips more than expected..