Richardson: Losing is Juve's winning strategy
British Eurosport's James Richardson believes Juventus' Serie A title challenge could come unstuck unless they exit the Champions League. The bianconeri have already shown signs of weariness, and Richardson maintains they lack enough squad depth to compete on both domestic and European fronts.
Serie A on British Eurosport
Long-time pacesetters Juve recently lost their stranglehold on top spot to Milan after a recent wobble saw them drop eight points in four games.
A win over Real Madrid on Wednesday could, paradoxically, be the worst thing that could happen, rendering them unable to keep pace with the charging champions.
"It's going to be tight," said Richardson of the race for the Scudetto. "It's mainly going to depend on the Champions League. If Juve don't go through against Real Madrid, which is entirely possible, that's going to take a lot of the pressure off them."
Juventus are desperate to improve on a record of just two European Cups to Milan's six, and have a good chance of overcoming their 1-0 first leg deficit at their Stadio delle Alpi.
Yet the extra matches and mental strain of a continental cup run might mean they finish the season empty-handed.
"They don't have a squad the size or the quality of Milan's, so that could prove the difference," Richardson said.
"If they do get past Real Madrid it might just put too much strain on their squad in the final months of the season."
HOSTILE RECEPTION
First they face a potentially explosive trip to the capital to face a chastened Roma.
Last summer, coach Fabio Capello defected to Juve - just months after declaring he would never go there. He then took star midfielder Emerson and defender Jonathan Zebina with him.
"While he was down in Rome, Capello played along with the Roma game and made various remarks about how Juve always enjoyed favours and how they were 'Jesuits', how other people could join them but he never would."
But he did, and nothing would please Roma, in particular the very vocal Francesco Totti, more than exacting revenge on the man they feel betrayed them.
Richardson predicts thematch's emotional fervour and personal significance will ensure Capello casts aside all thoughts of resting key players ahead of Wednesday.
"Capello's a pragmatic coach but this is a huge match for him because of what happened in the summer.
"There's been quite a public slanging match between him and Totti ever since."
NEDVED ABSENCE
While Capello looks set to field his strongest line-up, Juventus will not be at full strength thanks to Pavel Nedved's concussion that could rule him out for a further month.
Brighter news comes in David Trezeguet's likely return from 'flu. He may start at the expense of Swede Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who has faded slightly after an electric start to his Serie A career.
Juventus have failed to find the net in four of their last six outings, a spell that corresponds with Trezeguet's return from a long-term shoulder injury.
"I think it's just a coincidence," Richardson insists. "At the start of the season he and Ibrahimovic were playing extremely well together, so I don't think it's a question of incompatibility or that he produces pressures on the rest of the team because he doesn't contribute enough or anything like that.
"He happened to come back at a time when Nedved was going out injured, and Nedved is an irreplaceable player for Juve."
Impossible to replace, but Capello must try to do it anyway as Juventus enter crunch time without their talisman.
If he can pull the season around and bring silverware to Turin, the man who has tasted glory with AC Milan, Real Madrid and Roma may consider it his finest achievement yet.
James Richardson presents Serie A on British Eurosport, featuring Juventus' highly-charged visit to Roma, LIVE from 19:00GMT on Saturday!