Russia - Ukraine Conflict 2022 (76 Viewers)

AFL_ITALIA

MAGISTERIAL
Jun 17, 2011
31,834
Romania is in the EU and therefore doesn't have the option to be a fan of Russia. But if they weren't, I suspect they might be closer to Serbia in their stance, at least that's the impression I got from the general population when visiting Bucharest last year. Heard a lot of the same old arguments such as "but who is gaining from this war?", "but what about the Nazis?" etc. Of course that's still nowhere near bad enough to be an open ally like Belarus.
Close enough to allow Russian military to go through their land to access Moldova? That's essentially what I was getting at, then they could pretty much ignore Odesa entirely.
 

swag

L'autista
Administrator
Sep 23, 2003
84,799
But isn't the bigger issue that at this point Ukraine is losing too? The longer it goes on, the more they lose.
It's a war of attrition. That often favors the home team.

As much as Putin can pound his fists and whine about the integrity of Russia's 1988 borders, facts are the Ukrainians have lived there for many generations. You cannot compare the two. Russia is involved like the chicken, while Ukraine is committed like the pig. It's an asymmetric war.

A totally unrelated equivalent is like comparing Google Video to YouTube. Both came out around the same time. Google was playing around with video, but it was mostly busy sucking search teats. Few people even remember Google Video existed today.

YouTube had no choice: it was either succeed or die.
 

Strickland

Senior Member
May 17, 2019
5,862
Close enough to allow Russian military to go through their land to access Moldova? That's essentially what I was getting at, then they could pretty much ignore Odesa entirely.
As part of the EU surely not, there's way too much to lose there. But they're hardly the biggest supporters of Ukraine in the EU, to date they've sent like 3m worth in military help, a country with a 20m population.

This is the most recent picture I could quickly find, since then US support has gone way up, but it gives perspective on how little 3m is.

1677165131802.png
 

Seven

In bocca al lupo, Fabio.
Jun 25, 2003
39,351
It's a war of attrition. That often favors the home team.

As much as Putin can pound his fists and whine about the integrity of Russia's 1988 borders, facts are the Ukrainians have lived there for many generations. You cannot compare the two. Russia is involved like the chicken, while Ukraine is committed like the pig. It's an asymmetric war.


A totally unrelated equivalent is like comparing Google Video to YouTube. Both came out around the same time. Google was playing around with video, but it was mostly busy sucking search teats. Few people even remember Google Video existed today.

YouTube had no choice: it was either succeed or die.
I know, but Russia was never realistically going to 'win' this war, because they wouldn't even be able to hold onto the territory.

My point is that most people in the West figured it would be over soon. And instead it looks like it will be a much longer drawn out war. And the longer it goes on, the more Ukraine will suffer.
 

kappa96

Senior Member
Jun 20, 2018
7,475
It seems logistically difficult for them. Assuming Romania isn't a fan of Russia (I have no idea), they'd have to control Odesa in order to be able to supply from the Black Sea I would imagine, but they've already lost Kherson and were pushed back across the Dnipro.
No România isn't, never was and never will be a fan of orcia, although we have many orc trumpets.
Siding officially with the orcs is a no, go.
 
Apr 12, 2004
77,165
It doesn't make sense though, they have manpower and equipment to spare for another war now?
Moldova is relatively small and I don’t think they have much of a military. Could be a way for Russia to save face domestically.
The reason for this is Transnistria is a separate autonomous region of Moldova. It is still Communist, receives all its funding from Moscow, and has no police, 2,500 Russian Regulars are stationed there in place of police.

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No România isn't, never was and never will be a fan of orcia, although we have many orc trumpets.
Siding officially with the orcs is a no, go.
Exactly, after the fall of the Soviet Union, I think Romania was the first country to declare independence, and then you literally took Nicolae Ceaușescu outside and put two in his head on national television.
 

kappa96

Senior Member
Jun 20, 2018
7,475
Romania is in the EU and therefore doesn't have the option to be a fan of Russia. But if they weren't, I suspect they might be closer to Serbia in their stance, at least that's the impression I got from the general population when visiting Bucharest last year. Heard a lot of the same old arguments such as "but who is gaining from this war?", "but what about the Nazis?" etc. Of course that's still nowhere near bad enough to be an open ally like Belarus.
Nah, we are at least in the 80% fans of NATO and the EU.
We don't like russia since the 1850.
The rest of 20% are a bunch of nostalgic communists, conspiracy theory nut jobs and functional stupid people.
 
Apr 12, 2004
77,165
Close enough to allow Russian military to go through their land to access Moldova? That's essentially what I was getting at, then they could pretty much ignore Odesa entirely.
They don't have to.

1677172074581.png


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Plus, Moldova has the GDP of my zip code, dude. Moldova could actually be walked through by me with a rifle and six dudes.
 

kappa96

Senior Member
Jun 20, 2018
7,475
The reason for this is Transnistria is a separate autonomous region of Moldova. It is still Communist, receives all its funding from Moscow, and has no police, 2,500 Russian Regulars are stationed there in place of police.

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Exactly, after the fall of the Soviet Union, I think Romania was the first country to declare independence, and then you literally took Nicolae Ceaușescu outside and put two in his head on national television.
Yeah. We killed Ceaușescu, cause on his orders 2500 people died in the revolution and because the neo-commies that took power after were afraid of him (spilling the beans)
So they just offed him, in a laughable trial.
The sad part is that the neo-commies and their descendents still govern Romania disguised as democracy loving people.

Also România would not interfere with any attack on Moldova, since as a member of NATO we are not allowed to have teritorial disputes, since we signed the joining treaty.
 

swag

L'autista
Administrator
Sep 23, 2003
84,799
I know, but Russia was never realistically going to 'win' this war, because they wouldn't even be able to hold onto the territory.

My point is that most people in the West figured it would be over soon. And instead it looks like it will be a much longer drawn out war. And the longer it goes on, the more Ukraine will suffer.
Most of the West thought Covid would blow over in 2 weeks, so we're not very good at these things. :D
 

AFL_ITALIA

MAGISTERIAL
Jun 17, 2011
31,834
They don't have to.

1677172074581.png


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Plus, Moldova has the GDP of my zip code, dude. Moldova could actually be walked through by me with a rifle and six dudes.
That's one thing, but what I mean is after that how much of a threat could such a small force really be to a now western-armed Ukraine? After then after those resources have been exhausted, how would then they resupply through uncontrolled Ukrainian territory? Unless the goal would just be to take control of Moldova and just chill there.
 
Apr 17, 2013
3,532
I know, but Russia was never realistically going to 'win' this war, because they wouldn't even be able to hold onto the territory.

My point is that most people in the West figured it would be over soon. And instead it looks like it will be a much longer drawn out war. And the longer it goes on, the more Ukraine will suffer.
That's the problem of Western countries. We know Putin, why let him invade the Crimea in 2011, we behaved with "a spirit of Munich", considering that he was going to stop there. He only understands the balance of power to bring him back to the doghouse. In 2022, at the start of the war, we only delivered bulletproof vests, helmets.., the procrastination and slowness of Western countries to react cost time and lives, instead of coming to massively support Ukraine right away.

The war will last a long time yet, I don't know who benefits (the Americans who have found a new outlet for their gas, and the arms industry), China who has permanently vasalized Russia.
The big losers are Europe and Ukraine.
 
Apr 12, 2004
77,165
That's one thing, but what I mean is after that how much of a threat could such a small force really be to a now western-armed Ukraine? After then after those resources have been exhausted, how would then they resupply through uncontrolled Ukrainian territory? Unless the goal would just be to take control of Moldova and just chill there.
There have been thousands of Russian Active Duty soldiers in Transnistria since 1990.
 

Post Ironic

Senior Member
Feb 9, 2013
42,253
Eu doesn't even have guns to send to Ukraine. I don't know how anybody expect Ukraine to win this. Makes no sense. I guess media did their job well enough.
And Russia has been running out of modern tech and modern weapons and rolling old shit onto the battlefield.

As long as the US is willing to support Ukraine they won’t lose this. It’s likely to be a long grinding war of attrition, until the US gets sick of it and forces a diplomatic end with Russia probably allowed to keep some its gains, or the Russian elite and oligarchs get sick of this war and the sanctions on them and the pariah state Russia have turned into again and overthrow Putin.

But the Russkies don’t have a snowballs chance in hell of defeating the Ukraine while America fully backs them.
 

Dostoevsky

Tzu
Administrator
May 27, 2007
89,030
And Russia has been running out of modern tech and modern weapons and rolling old shit onto the battlefield.

As long as the US is willing to support Ukraine they won’t lose this. It’s likely to be a long grinding war of attrition, until the US gets sick of it and forces a diplomatic end with Russia probably allowed to keep some its gains, or the Russian elite and oligarchs get sick of this war and the sanctions on them and the pariah state Russia have turned into again and overthrow Putin.

But the Russkies don’t have a snowballs chance in hell of defeating the Ukraine while America fully backs them.
Isn't that a win for Russia?

Also, if they can do that now when there are 200-300k dead Ukranians, why wait and do it when there are 500k dead?

I do agree about the long grinding war part. IMO there's no way it's gonna end this year.
 

Post Ironic

Senior Member
Feb 9, 2013
42,253
Isn't that a win for Russia?

Also, if they can do that now when there are 200-300k dead Ukranians, why wait and do it when there are 500k dead?

I do agree about the long grinding war part. IMO there's no way it's gonna end this year.
Nah. They tried to conquer the entire country, failed miserably, got their “modern” army wrecked, looked like a joke, and may end up with some territory in the eastern part of Ukraine where they already held part of the nation.

I’d say that ending is a loss for both Russia and Ukraine. Especially considering Russia pushed Finland and Sweden into NATO, restrengthened the alliance, and hardened their resolve while making themselves pariahs in the first world once again.
 

Dostoevsky

Tzu
Administrator
May 27, 2007
89,030
Nah. They tried to conquer the entire country, failed miserably, got their “modern” army wrecked, looked like a joke, and may end up with some territory in the eastern part of Ukraine where they already held part of the nation.

I’d say that ending is a loss for both Russia and Ukraine. Especially considering Russia pushed Finland and Sweden into NATO, restrengthened the alliance, and hardened their resolve while making themselves pariahs in the first world once again.
Imo when this ends Russia will keep the teritority which they claimed, Crimea too, while Ukraine won't be allowed to join NATO. I think they wanted that ever since it started.

Did you hear what Lavrov said? I hope that's an exaggeration but he said this will last for another ten years.
 

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