Russia - Ukraine Conflict 2022 (74 Viewers)

Elvin

Senior Member
Nov 25, 2005
36,923
Sanctions are historically ineffective at leading to regime change, e.g. Cuba, DPRK, Iraq, Iran, Venezuela, Syria, Turkey, Myanmar, but it’s the only real measure available outside of military action.

That said Putin built his image around bringing stability after the socioeconomic and political trauma of the 90s (even though most of that stability can be credited to rising global oil prices), but with the war and sanctions he’s risking all of that sentiment amongst his supporter base.
You are missing two key points here tho: 1. These are sactions of unprecedented volume; 2. Russians, and especially the population of Moscow, which is basically the entire country in reality, are too used to the good life and perks of globalization, unlike the countries you mentioned (minus Türkiye).
 

Ronn

Senior Member
May 3, 2012
20,925
You are missing two key points here tho: 1. These are sactions of unprecedented volume; 2. Russians, and especially the population of Moscow, which is basically the entire country in reality, are too used to the good life and perks of globalization, unlike the countries you mentioned (minus Türkiye).
Are you saying sanctions will trigger massive uprising against Putin? I doubt it.
 

Ronn

Senior Member
May 3, 2012
20,925
When their country will fall in bankruptcy it most likely will. This war might become a Russian revolution more than anything else, if the sanctions work and Ukraine doesn’t fall.
That’s wishful thinking. Average citizens are very reluctant to risk their lives against someone so accustomed to killing, and also controls what’s left of the economy. Sanctions just increase the inequality, since Putin will make sure the ones fundamental to his rule remain well compensated.

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And the basis for your confidence?
 

IliveForJuve

Burn this club
Jan 17, 2011
18,935
That’s wishful thinking. Average citizens are very reluctant to risk their lives against someone so accustomed to killing, and also controls what’s left of the economy. Sanctions just increase the inequality, since Putin will make sure the ones fundamental to his rule remain well compensated.
And he'll increase the salary of cops and military personnel to keep up with inflation/exchange rate.

Doesn't matter if they turn into Venezuela 2.0., it'll be extremely hard to remove Putin.
 

Elvin

Senior Member
Nov 25, 2005
36,923
That’s wishful thinking. Average citizens are very reluctant to risk their lives against someone so accustomed to killing, and also controls what’s left of the economy. Sanctions just increase the inequality, since Putin will make sure the ones fundamental to his rule remain well compensated.

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And the basis for your confidence?
There is no loyalty to any ideology in Russia, the only thing keeping population in check is fear and money, once those instilling that fear lose their money, it's over.

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And he'll increase the salary of cops and military personnel to keep up with inflation/exchange rate.

Doesn't matter if they turn into Venezuela 2.0., it'll be extremely hard to remove Putin.
With what? :lol:
 

IliveForJuve

Burn this club
Jan 17, 2011
18,935
There is no loyalty to any ideology in Russia, the only thing keeping population in check is fear and money, once those instilling that fear lose their money, it's over.

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With what? :lol:
They'll probably just print more money.

How do you think Nicolas Maduro is still president of Venezuela? It's the most miserable country in the world but the fucker has a tight grip on the military and police.
 

Tomice

Senior Member
Mar 25, 2009
3,024
There is no loyalty to any ideology in Russia, the only thing keeping population in check is fear and money, once those instilling that fear lose their money, it's over.

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With what? :lol:
I think you are undervaluing what over a century of propaganda and brainwashing does to the public psych of nations. Most russians outside Moscow and st. Petersburg haven't left the 19th century behind.
 

Elvin

Senior Member
Nov 25, 2005
36,923
I think you are undervaluing what over a century of propaganda and brainwashing does to the public psych of nations. Most russians outside Moscow and st. Petersburg haven't left the 19th century behind.
You are undervaluing Moscow's quality of life and influence over the entire country. Moscow is Russia, Moskovites will resolve this.
 

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