Mafia 2020 - Find the carrier (5 Viewers)

[Klin]

It makes sense, but you don't agree with it? Which one is it?

No Lynch will simply give us nothing.

The chances of us voting a G tonight are very slim.

I would still not opt for the No Lynch.

 

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[Völler]

The bodyguard will protect himself tonight no matter what.

Is it smart for him to go public? I'd have done so if I was the BG.
This would give the D a better chance to investigate a G. Not by much, I know (now the D has a 27% chance and if the BG comes out, the D will have a 30% chance).
This will likely be a short game and the Cs need to lower the Gs chance for a very quick win.

The 3% increased chance here is negligeable. What are the thoughts here? Don't you think you are running a huge risk if the BG will need to protect someone besides himself?

 

[Tomice]

Vote count

Osman (1) - Klin
Cerval (1) - Alen
Campionesidd (1) - Cerval
No-Lynch (1) - Mr. Chocolate

Yet to vote:

Voller
Campionesidd
Kyle
Osman
Piotrr
ALC
Quetzacol
Bezzy

 

[Völler]

No Lynch will simply give us nothing.

The chances of us voting a G tonight are very slim.

I would still not opt for the No Lynch.

I agree, I think. The no lynch strategy seems to be banking entirely on the detective to get it right (almost) immediately. That might be the case, but it's giving us no information.

 

[Klin]

Ok, why?

Because it's a stupid idea, firstly.

And secondly, you've also failed to mention that it would not only remove the possibility of the Gs wasting a whack on the BG on the first days which would help the Cs, it would also expose his identity for nothing.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

The 3% increased chance here is negligeable. What are the thoughts here? Don't you think you are running a huge risk if the BG will need to protect someone besides himself?

It's not about the 3% increase, but so the D can know who he is and have someone to relay his information to everyone.

 

[Klin]

It's not about the 3% increase, but so the D can know who he is and have someone to relay his information to everyone.

That should not be done on the first day.

BG shut your mouth.

 

[Völler]

It's not about the 3% increase, but so the D can know who he is and have someone to relay his information to everyone.

That sort of makes sense, but that wasn't Alen's argument as far as I can see. Also, if that's the case, why reveal yourself on day 1 as opposed to on day 2 or day 3?

 

[Alen]

The 3% increased chance here is negligeable. What are the thoughts here? Don't you think you are running a huge risk if the BG will need to protect someone besides himself?

On day 1 the BG always protects himself. Even if he doesn't go public, he'll protect himself.
This won't be a long game. It's gonna last 2-5 days.
The Cs can't allow to lose a single day, because, like I said 3 times already, the game could be over by tomorrow night.

If I'm the D, I'd now know that of the remaining 11 players, 3 are Gs and 8 are Cs. I'd also know that I can't go wrong more than once. My day 1 investigation would be crucial. I'd love to eliminate as many suspects possible. If I know who's the BG, then its 1 less suspect.

Also, the BG goes public. Then he asks the jailer to contact him in the next 20 minutes and they decide together who to jail (the jailer has 35 minutes left to jail someone). The BG knows who's the jailer.
Then he asks the D to contact him and gives the D 3 hours to do that. If only 1 person contacts him in those 3 hours, it's likely that it's the real D. The BG tells the D who's the jailer, so now the D has one more guy to eliminate and he has 9 persons left, 1/3 of which are Gs.

 

[Klin]

On day 1 the BG always protects himself. Even if he doesn't go public, he'll protect himself.
This won't be a long game. It's gonna last 2-5 days.
The Cs can't allow to lose a single day, because, like I said 3 times already, the game could be over by tomorrow night.

If I'm the D, I'd now know that of the remaining 11 players, 3 are Gs and 8 are Cs. I'd also know that I can't go wrong more than once. My day 1 investigation would be crucial. I'd love to eliminate as many suspects possible. If I know who's the BG, then its 1 less suspect.

Also, the BG goes public. Then he asks the jailer to contact him in the next 20 minutes and they decide together who to jail (the jailer has 35 minutes left to jail someone). The BG knows who's the jailer.
Then he asks the D to contact him and gives the D 3 hours to do that. If only 1 person contacts him in those 3 hours, it's likely that it's the real D. The BG tells the D who's the jailer, so now the D has one more guy to eliminate and he has 9 persons left, 1/3 of which are Gs.

Bu then you'll realize that you're playing with Mr fucking Chocolate here (sorry bro) and all that plan crashes down.

 

[Alen]

Bu then you'll realize that you're playing with Mr fucking Chocolate here (sorry bro) and all that plan crashes down.

That's the risk.

But if the Cs don't do anything at all, they're just playing for a quick defeat.

 

[ALC]

The bodyguard will protect himself tonight no matter what.

Is it smart for him to go public? I'd have done so if I was the BG.
This would give the D a better chance to investigate a G. Not by much, I know (now the D has a 27% chance and if the BG comes out, the D will have a 30% chance).
This will likely be a short game and the Cs need to lower the Gs chance for a very quick win.

lol

 

[Klin]

That's the risk.

But if the Cs don't do anything at all, they're just playing for a quick defeat.

I've never seen you like this on the first day. Are you playing for a quick kill?

 

[ALC]

No Lynch will simply give us nothing.

The chances of us voting a G tonight are very slim.

I would still not opt for the No Lynch.

your posting has been useless

- - - Updated - - -

Because it's a stupid idea, firstly.

And secondly, you've also failed to mention that it would not only remove the possibility of the Gs wasting a whack on the BG on the first days which would help the Cs, it would also expose his identity for nothing.

okay, I take it back

 

[Klin]

your posting has been useless

Meanwhile yours has put us all to shame.

 

[Alen]

I've never seen you like this on the first day. Are you playing for a quick kill?

For the 5th time, it's gonna be a short game!
It doesn't matter if I'm killed today or we lose tomorrow.

I'd have acted differently if 25 of us played the game like in the old days.

 

[Klin]

For the 5th time, it's gonna be a short game!
It doesn't matter if I'm killed today or we lose tomorrow.

I'd have acted differently if 25 of us played the game like in the old days.

Why should the BG trust the jailer? How can the BG decide between 2 persons claiming to be the jailer on the first day?

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

Because it's a stupid idea, firstly.

And secondly, you've also failed to mention that it would not only remove the possibility of the Gs wasting a whack on the BG on the first days which would help the Cs, it would also expose his identity for nothing.

There was only like a 11% chance of that happening anyway

 

[Cerval]

Completely forgot about it, lel. At work until 4pm anyway.



I have tuz tab open on my home pc so it probably shows i'm always online.

It has been 1 hour and 30 minutes you should have been home

 

[Alen]

Also, the jailer needs to jail someone. He has 27 minutes.

The chances are that he'll jail a civilian, so it gives the D one less headache while investigating.