Mafia 2018! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter Fred
- Start date
ok cool...still reading, the number of pages seems to have blown up last night
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Ok morning chaps, looks like we had a mare last night. But we still have massive odds in our favour 11v4.
When I left, tomice had like 4-5 votes and everyone else was 1s and then it suddenly swung around completely to bondu?
Also we were making steady progress in the morning but after that seems like it descended into emotional mud slinging.
Anyway here is my logical take on this:
The rate determining step is Tomice since he was the 'major' player apart from blondu
and the two mutually exclusive scenarios are:
a) he is a G or
b) he is NOT a G
a) Tomice is a G: he attacked blondu and managed to sway votes away from him when he looked like he was going. That could be possible by getting help from his other G mates
b)Tomice is not a G: if tomice is a C and attacked blondu just to save himself, it is still an inviting prospect for G's to jump on the train
In a nutshell, it is very likely there is 1 if not more G's in the subset of tomice and the people who voted for blondu
{tomice, alc, kyle, radekas, championsid}
so in the absence of other info , we have ATLEAST 20% chance of finding a G if we focus on this subset vs 10% of focusing on the other 10 people
- - - Updated - - -
Ok morning chaps, looks like we had a mare last night. But we still have massive odds in our favour 11v4.
When I left, tomice had like 4-5 votes and everyone else was 1s and then it suddenly swung around completely to bondu?
Also we were making steady progress in the morning but after that seems like it descended into emotional mud slinging.
Anyway here is my logical take on this:
The rate determining step is Tomice since he was the 'major' player apart from blondu
and the two mutually exclusive scenarios are:
a) he is a G or
b) he is NOT a G
a) Tomice is a G: he attacked blondu and managed to sway votes away from him when he looked like he was going. That could be possible by getting help from his other G mates
b)Tomice is not a G: if tomice is a C and attacked blondu just to save himself, it is still an inviting prospect for G's to jump on the train
In a nutshell, it is very likely there is 1 if not more G's in the subset of tomice and the people who voted for blondu
{tomice, alc, kyle, radekas, championsid}
so in the absence of other info , we have ATLEAST 20% chance of finding a G if we focus on this subset vs 10% of focusing on the other 10 people
