we should win the title with around 84 points
+1.
Our fixtures in the league:
01-03-2013 away vs Napoli
10-03-2013 home vs Catania
16-03-2013 away vs Bologna
30-03-2013 away vs Inter
07-04-2013 home vs Pescara
14-04-2013 away vs Lazio
21-04-2013 home vs AC Milan
28-04-2013 away vs Torino
05-05-2013 home vs Palermo
08-05-2013 away vs Atalanta
12-05-2013 home vs Cagliari
19-05-2013 away vs Sampdoria
Must win matches that we
should win:Catania(H),Pescara(H),Torino(A),Palermo(H),Cagliari(H)
at least 1 point from every away match:Bologna(A),Atalanta(A),Samp(A)
the tough 4 mathces:Napoli(A),Inter(A),Lazio(A),Milan(H).
worst case:
4 wins and 1 draw from 5 must win group.
3 draws from the away matches vs Bol,Ata,Samp
2 loses and 2 draws from the last group of tough matches.
it will get us 18 points.
overall 76 points.might be not enough.
but i do expect us to:
get 5 wins from the must win matches.
win atleast 1 and get 2 draws in the away games.
get at least 6 points from the tough matches.
it will get us 26 point.
which is 84 points overall.more than enough to win the Scudetto.
average case of 80 points should also be enough.
Milan still have:Lazio(H),Viola(A),Napoli(H),Juve(A),Roma(H) + CL football.
Napoli:Udinese(A),Milan(A),Inter(H),Roma(A)
Lazio:Milan(A),Viola(H),Roma(A),Juve(H),Udinese(A),Inter(A) + EL football.
On paper it seems Napoli have the best and easiest fixtures,along with no distraction to EL.
so it's very important we don't lose on friday.
and Forza Udinese today!
as for the final standings,seems like Napoli & Milan will be in the CL.
Fiorentina,Lazio & Inter in the EL.with Inter getting it from Coppa final appearance vs Lazio who will get the EL automatically.