Coronavirus (COVID-19 Outbreak) (81 Viewers)

OP
Bjerknes

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
117,061
  • Thread Starter
  • Thread Starter #8,863
    this would have been a decent idea at the outset as it worked in a number of other countries. however, right now we are socially and economically past the point of locking down, no matter the body count
    Depends on when. France already locked down and are locked down again.
     

    JuveJay

    Senior Signor
    Moderator
    Mar 6, 2007
    75,532
    UK (68m) first European country to reach 50,000 deaths. That's pretty impressive considering the head start Italy had.

    Our levels of obesity are the highest in Europe (I don't include Turkey). That is a clear factor, but not decisive in the numbers.

    Italy (60m) and France (65m) both just over 42,000 and Spain (42m) on 40,000. But if you look at deaths per capita Spain is leading the way from the bigger Euro nations. Life expectancy is also a factor, as people live longer in Spain and Italy.

    But someone explain Belgium (11m). Same sort of life expectancy as UK, relatively low levels of obesity, but deaths per million figures off the scale. Is it population density that is the biggest contributor? Why is Netherlands a lot lower? England as a stand alone country is more densely-populated than Belgium and is also lower.
     

    icemaη

    Rab's Husband - The Regista
    Moderator
    Aug 27, 2008
    36,526
    UK (68m) first European country to reach 50,000 deaths. That's pretty impressive considering the head start Italy had.

    Our levels of obesity are the highest in Europe (I don't include Turkey). That is a clear factor, but not decisive in the numbers.

    Italy (60m) and France (65m) both just over 42,000 and Spain (42m) on 40,000. But if you look at deaths per capita Spain is leading the way from the bigger Euro nations. Life expectancy is also a factor, as people live longer in Spain and Italy.

    But someone explain Belgium (11m). Same sort of life expectancy as UK, relatively low levels of obesity, but deaths per million figures off the scale. Is it population density that is the biggest contributor? Why is Netherlands a lot lower? England as a stand alone country is more densely-populated than Belgium and is also lower.
    @Buck Fuddy
     

    Dostoevsky

    Tzu
    Administrator
    May 27, 2007
    89,255
    UK (68m) first European country to reach 50,000 deaths. That's pretty impressive considering the head start Italy had.

    Our levels of obesity are the highest in Europe (I don't include Turkey). That is a clear factor, but not decisive in the numbers.

    Italy (60m) and France (65m) both just over 42,000 and Spain (42m) on 40,000. But if you look at deaths per capita Spain is leading the way from the bigger Euro nations. Life expectancy is also a factor, as people live longer in Spain and Italy.

    But someone explain Belgium (11m). Same sort of life expectancy as UK, relatively low levels of obesity, but deaths per million figures off the scale. Is it population density that is the biggest contributor? Why is Netherlands a lot lower? England as a stand alone country is more densely-populated than Belgium and is also lower.
    I think Belgium is one of the weirdest cases overall when it comes to Covid.

    When it comes to first wave they were recording deaths as Covid even without testing so whoever died they said it's Covid. I think that's the only example of country who did that so I don't think any comparison is valid.
     

    Buck Fuddy

    Lara Chedraoui fanboy
    May 22, 2009
    10,926
    Well, consensus seems to be that our numbers are pretty accurate. Looking at the number of excess deaths, that seems to be the case at least.
    Other countries might underestimate their numbers slightly. Afaik, that would or could be the case in the Netherlands.

    Still, that doesn't explain the massive differences.

    During the first wave, we had massive problems in retirement homes, so that explains the high number of deaths back then. Our death toll in this second wave is still pretty high, but definitely a lot more "normal". Main problem right now is the fact that there are so many infections.
    Numbers have been steadily decreasing the past few days, but like I mentioned earlier in this thread, at one point we had more than 20.000 a day. Taking our population into account, that would equate to more than 550.000 new daily cases in the USA.

    I really don't know why our numbers are that much worse than everyone else's though. Sure, there's a lot of political incompetence, there's the population density, there are people who don't believe in the virus, etc. Some of the links Post Ironic posted a while ago give you somewhat of an idea.
    But I'm not sure that explains everything.

    Our healthcare in general is really good though. That has to be said as well.


    https://www.cp24.com/world/institut...elgium-hampers-response-to-covid-19-1.5163990

    Is this true about your “governments”? Sounds like a total mess tbh.

    - - - Updated - - -

    From what your health care officials are saying, it sounds like your health care system is nearing capacity and on the edge of being overwhelmed. :scared:


    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...lockdown-to-avert-health-care-system-collapse

    Health care staff being asked to keep working after testing positive as long as asymptomatic. :scared:

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54688846

    Apparently Germany taking in some patients to alleviate pressure. @DAiDEViL @lgorTudor

    https://www.brusselstimes.com/news/...-rhineland-palatinate-marc-noppen-uz-brussel/
     

    Gian

    COME HOME MOGGI
    Apr 12, 2009
    17,939
    UK (68m) first European country to reach 50,000 deaths. That's pretty impressive considering the head start Italy had.

    Our levels of obesity are the highest in Europe (I don't include Turkey). That is a clear factor, but not decisive in the numbers.

    Italy (60m) and France (65m) both just over 42,000 and Spain (42m) on 40,000. But if you look at deaths per capita Spain is leading the way from the bigger Euro nations. Life expectancy is also a factor, as people live longer in Spain and Italy.

    But someone explain Belgium (11m). Same sort of life expectancy as UK, relatively low levels of obesity, but deaths per million figures off the scale. Is it population density that is the biggest contributor? Why is Netherlands a lot lower? England as a stand alone country is more densely-populated than Belgium and is also lower.
    I can answer that one, over here we only count those who passed away and had tested positive before but during the first wave we had testing issues and massive under diagnosis of cases. The real number according our National Statistic Officer, is around 10K.

    I think the case in Belgium is that they had the same testing issues obviously but they count every death with suspicion of Covid as one.
     

    JuveJay

    Senior Signor
    Moderator
    Mar 6, 2007
    75,532
    I can answer that one, over here we only count those who passed away and had tested positive but during the first wave we had testing issues and massive under diagnosis of cases. The real number according our National Statistic Officer, is around 10K.
    Ok so you're somewhere between Belgium and UK, which sounds more realistic. With your population density you could probably do little to stop spread other than a hard lockdown for weeks.
     

    Gian

    COME HOME MOGGI
    Apr 12, 2009
    17,939
    Ok so you're somewhere between Belgium and UK, which sounds more realistic. With your population density you could probably do little to stop spread other than a hard lockdown for weeks.
    We've been in (semi) lockdown for some time now with bars/restaurants closed the past 3 weeks and probably 'till late December, amateur sports (bar gyms) suspended and people can't mix up with more than 2 indoors and outside. So far we've been recording 4-5k cases per day which still seems a lot for the sacrifice we make.
     

    swag

    L'autista
    Administrator
    Sep 23, 2003
    84,989
    Looks like the writing is on the wall. Will be interesting to see how much Biden (?) is willing to shut it down nationwide while knowing that will be a rather unpopular decision to put it mildly. And it will put some of my friends out of work most likely but gotta save lives.

    Well, the feds abdicating any responsibility to help address it is definitely a strategy producing benefits. :tup:
     

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