Good forecast for the Azzurra
GENEVA (EFE) -- The Italian selection will be the winner of the next World Cup of Germany, affirm the economists of the Swiss bank UBS, that have been served of the tools of the statistics and of the econometrics to predict who will be raised with the trophy in the end of July 9.
According to the simulation done by the banking company in the quarter finals Germany will lose against Argentina, Italy will be imposed in that same round against France, Holland will gain to England and in the 4 encounter, Brazil will impede to Spain to continue ahead.
The semifinal, likewise, will be dominated by Brazil and Italy, after the rout of the Dutch before the "canarinhos" and that of the Argentines before the Italians.
If they continue those forecasts, to the ones that the team in around al chief economist Klaus Wellershoff attributes a 89 percent reliability, in the face to face of the two favorite will be Italy who be raised with the trophy, in spite of to have lost before the latin-americans in 1970 and 1994.
The model inclines in favor of the Italians because, though Brazil is the only team that has earned a world one out of its continent of origin, the statistics shows that to play in the continent "local" enlarges the possibilities of victory.
Source: espndeportes.com