Regarding next mercato.
I'll try to go into Marotta's and Paratici heads regarding the youngsters we have (Rugani, Zaza, Berardi). Many signs were given by them so far. I think it's safe to conclude that:
- Rugani is seen as a ready player despite his young age. They already paid for the other half to avoid competition upfront. He will be brought back right away.
- Zaza is also seen as ready player to take part in the rotation. Marotta has stated that he tried to get him in january to compensate the loss of Giovinco. He will be bought for 15M in june. That's 100%.
- Marotta never let anything really clear about bringing Berardi back now. But he has some factors against it:
. only 20 yrs old;
. he is having an inconsistent season (despite great numbers once again, Zaza is less spectacular but a more consistent performer);
. he has had discipline problems with a lot of red cards;
. he plays as an inside forward, not exactly a winger. It is doubtful where he would fit in this team with the current scheme, which should be maintained by Allegri since results have been good so far.
. He will cost 13/15M for his half, and the burden gets bigger when you consider the money to be paid for Zaza;
. If Juve doesn't buy his half, they'll have to sell it to Sassuolo. It should be sold for like 10M. They'd make a profit and compensate on paying for Zaza.
. Marotta can define a buy back clause for Berardi for the next seasons. The risk of losing him is not big since the very close approach with Sassuolo.
So IMO Berardi is not coming, unless he puts in an amazing 2nd semester.
So in a conservative approach, things won't change much. I'll try to be optimistic as we sign an AM like Mikhtarian, using the sales of Isla and Ogbonna for it.
- Allegri stays (doing a good job so far);
- Pogba stays (unless he drops amazing performances in Europe);
- Pirlo stays (he has declared he doesn't see retirement yet and Allegri is not willing to bench him);
- Vidal stays (very bad season probably cooled interest);
- Llorente stays (I doubt he'd accept moving to a meh EPL club. Maybe Valencia, but I bet he'd want to stay);
- Morata stays (Madrid only using buyback clause in 2016 when the player will decide);
- Rugani and Zaza immediatly in;
- Ogbonna sold to free space to Rugani;
- Berardi's half sold with buyback clause + Coman loan out;
- Neto in (free transfer).
- AM in (thinking about Mikhtarian)
- Expenditure around 20/30M, counting on Pereyra's 14M and sales of Isla and Ogbonna.
Starting team: Buffon - Licth, Bonucci, Chiellini, Asamoah - Pirlo, Marchisio, Pogba - Mikhtarian - Tevez, Morata
Bench: Neto - Caceres, Barzagli, Rugani, Evra - Sturaro, Vidal, Padoin, Pereyra - Zaza, Llorente (+ 3rd GK + De Ceglie + Scrub 5th striker)