[Serie A] Napoli 3-3 JUVENTUS (Nov. 29th 2011) (6 Viewers)

Man of the match

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ZoSo

TSUUUUUUU
Jul 11, 2011
41,646
Unbeaten and consistent - two things that will win you a title, and two things that have characterised Juventus' start to life under new coach Antonio Conte.

They have neither the best defence in the league, nor the best attack, but their ability to put in performances week after week has left them top and with the opportunity to extend their lead to four points as they face the tough trip to Napoli.

Beating the Neapolitans will not be an easy task, despite Walter Mazzarri's men sitting all the way down in eighth place. If we see the Napoli side that beat Manchester City last week in the Champions League, then they have every chance of pulling off a victory that would smash the Scudetto race wide open. The Napoli that only drew with Atalanta will struggle (although it's important not to underestimate how good this Atalanta side are) to break down the Old Lady.

Juventus are 3.0 to win, which seems an okay value price given they're the only unbeaten side in the league, winning seven. Napoli have not won in their last three Serie A games as they struggle to balance their commitments across all competitions.

In terms of goals bets, the return of Ezequiel Lavezzi to the line-up will strengthen Napoli's attack after he was rested at the weekend. Juventus may have won their last four on the bounce, but they have still conceded in three of their last five, suggesting that the in-form Edinson Cavani may be in with a chance.

Despite being level on goals with Juve's Claudio Marchisio and Alessandro Matri this season, home advantage means that Cavani is favourite to open the scoring at 5.0 - something he has done with three of his five Serie A strikes this campaign. For an outside shout, Simone Pepe seems slightly overpriced for a winger at 9.00 to score first and 3.75 anytime.

In terms of the over/under 2.5 goals market, we combine Napoli's home record with Juve's away record to find that in 10 games, just three have gone over the 2.5 goal mark. It's no surprise to see the unders poorly priced at 1.65 then, although considering five of those 10 matches have gone under the 1.5 goal mark, those expecting a tight affair can back under two goals at 3.0 in an excellent value punt.

Best Bet: Under two goals @ 3.0

Value Bet: Edinson Cavani to score first @ 5.0
 

Cheesio

**********
Jul 11, 2006
22,514
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