What I've noticed post-Calciopoli is that if 1 player is the sole focus of our team in the media and no other alternatives are being touted (in that players respective position) we usually land him. (i.e. Amauri 08, Diego 09, Krasic 10) From what I've been seeing and if it persists this way, Aguero will be ours.
So far the three big signings we'll have this campaign are: Bastos, Pirlo and Aguero. (player(s) in bold are practically signed, sealed and delivered)
I know some will consider that 1 big signing but realistically and judging by media attention on these players thats what we'll get. The other positions if filled up will be shored up with non-world class signings.