Mafia: Vikings in Distress (20 Viewers)

[Fred]

It's too risky for the BG to contact Kate since there's 33% chance that she will be recruited tomorrow.

They won't recruit yet. It would be silly for the G's to recruit so soon, 33% is just not good enough odds. Kate is a mouth watering option now with the info she has , they will not recruit unless there is at least a 50% chance, IMO if the D investigates the BG, he should get in contact with him immediately. The BG can then reveal himself, and ask us to lynch Kate, that is the only way to protect the D's identity at the moment.

But I'm not right now. That could put the two in touch.

It is risky, as Fred says.

Putting the two in touch is not as much of a priority as keeping the D's identity secret.

 

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[j0ker]

Yes she can, and it would be a terrible idea for the BG to contact her. I am hoping that the one who contacted her was not the real D, if the real D is the one who contacted Kate, then we are in big trouble. We'd be in bigger trouble when the BG gets investigated and the CC snoops on the investigation, then there would be a 50% chance they can recruit Kate, and with what she knows we're fucked. IMO Kate is now a danger to the C's and as such, we should lynch her sooner or later. We can afford to keep her for the next couple of days, because the G's won't recruit yet, they will recruit once they find out who the BG or D is IMO.

Under absolutely no circumstance should the BG contact Kate, no circumstances at all. I hope the BG is smart enough to realize that.

But we can ask to prove if she was recruited or not anytime by asking her to use her powers and kill someone, if she can't than it's obvious that she was recruited.

 

[radekas]

They won't recruit yet. It would be silly for the G's to recruit so soon, 33% is just not good enough odds. Kate is a mouth watering option now with the info she has , they will not recruit unless there is at least a 50% chance, IMO if the D investigates the BG, he should get in contact with him immediately. The BG can then reveal himself, and ask us to lynch Kate, that is the only way to protect the D's identity at the moment.

I think they will recruit tomorrow because they have a 66% chance of getting either Kate or ILFJ who is the lawyer. And now with Voller "confirmed" a C they can also get someone who can manipulate other Cs.

Everything speaks for the recruitment to happen asap. I just hope they won't get as lucky as with piotrr last game.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

But we can ask to prove if she was recruited or not anytime by asking her to use her powers and kill someone, if she can't than it's obvious that she was recruited.

WOuldn't matter as the Gs would already have the info they need.

 

[j0ker]

WOuldn't matter as the Gs would already have the info they need.

Well shit then.

This is complicated.

but i agree the bg should not contact her.

 

[Fred]

One more thing, if the D investigates the BG, the BG should then come public with his role.

Yes, see my above post.

It should happen immediately, because the G's would know who the BG is, there will be no use in hiding it.

The very minute the D finds out who the BG is, the following should happen:

1) The BG reveals himself to everyone.
2) We lynch Kate that day. Or alternatively Kate should commit suicide, by posting the narrators PM or something, that is if Kate is more committed to the C cause than she is to herself

- - - Updated - - -

I think they will recruit tomorrow because they have a 66% chance of getting either Kate or ILFJ who is the lawyer. And now with Voller "confirmed" a C they can also get someone who can manipulate other Cs.

Everything speaks for the recruitment to happen asap. I just hope they won't get as lucky as with piotrr last game.

They won't recruit tomorrow. They don't want or need the lawyer, even the jailer is more valuable than the lawyer. Now thar Kate knows who the D is, all they want is Kate, they don't want anyone else.

But we can ask to prove if she was recruited or not anytime by asking her to use her powers and kill someone, if she can't than it's obvious that she was recruited.

What Matt said. Don't forget the G's for the next four nights will always know who was investigated and what role he/she has.

 

[j0ker]

What Matt said. Don't forget the G's for the next four nights will always know who was investigated and what role he/she has.

Yeah, I got it.

And I agree with your points.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

Fred, who would be your pick for lynching tomorrow?

 

[Fred]

Fred, who would be your pick for lynching tomorrow?

I need to go back and look at voting patterns, posts mean shit in the first few days, I need to see how people voted in the last 3 hours before the deadline, in addition to yesterdays voting, and factor into it what we now know about who some confirmed C's are. Too tired to do that now, will do it tomorrow morning and let everyone know what my thoughts are.

 

[piotrr]

Can we think of some way to verify it was the real D that contacted Kate?

 

[Kate]

Yes, see my above post.

It should happen immediately, because the G's would know who the BG is, there will be no use in hiding it.

The very minute the D finds out who the BG is, the following should happen:

1) The BG reveals himself to everyone.
2) We lynch Kate that day. Or alternatively Kate should commit suicide, by posting the narrators PM or something, that is if Kate is more committed to the C cause than she is to herself

If we get to the point where the BG and D know who one another are and can carry the ship to the end, that's fine. I don't care if I get lynched if it's to help the cause.

 

[radekas]

What Matt said. Don't forget the G's for the next four nights will always know who was investigated and what role he/she has.

I don't think so. I'm guessing 2 more nights. If they used the CC on the first night they will have 3 more. If they used it tonight they will have 2. I'm pretty sure they don't have 4.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

If the D contacted Kate, then he has to be a n00b. Maybe he contacted others he investigated

 

[Fred]

I don't think so. I'm guessing 2 more nights. If they used the CC on the first night they will have 3 more. If they used it tonight they will have 2. I'm pretty sure they don't have 4.

Your right, I meant to say for the next 2 nights, I am aware that the CC gets to snoop 4 times.

 

[X Æ A-12]

Perhaps Kate should be lynched tomorrow...it's not her fault but the D really fucked up in revealing themselves to someone capable of being recruited. leaving kate around is a huge risk to whoever that person is.

 

[Quetzalcoatl]

Perhaps Kate should be lynched tomorrow...it's not her fault but the D really fucked up in revealing themselves to someone capable of being recruited. leaving kate around is a huge risk to whoever that person is.

Not yet, still unlikely she'll be recruited. Also, don't know if the D is real. We could use her powers still, and we haven't come close to a G yet, while 6 Cs are dead.

Btw, I find that you voted for me very quietly today. Why?

 

[X Æ A-12]

Not yet, still unlikely she'll be recruited. Also, don't know if the D is real. We could use her powers still, and we haven't come close to a G yet, while 6 Cs are dead.

Btw, I find that you voted for me very quietly today. Why?

simple i have to vote for someone and today by the time i woke up my choice was throw my vote away or choose between you and ILFJ.

 

[Völler]

Fred needs to die tomorrow. For the simple reason he hasn't been whacked yet. I don't see anyone in the game that would to keep him alive this long. King Ale, X or me, maybe, but the two first are dead and I've been investigated. Maybe piotrr, but that's an enormous long shot. And yes, Fred, it's sad that you have an expiration date, but that's just how it goes.
@radekas - Why were you so desperate to get Adonis auto-lynched?

 

[X Æ A-12]

Fred needs to die tomorrow. For the simple reason he hasn't been whacked yet. I don't see anyone in the game that would to keep him alive this long. King Ale, X or me, maybe, but the two first are dead and I've been investigated. Maybe piotrr, but that's an enormous long shot. And yes, Fred, it's sad that you have an expiration date, but that's just how it goes.
@radekas - Why were you so desperate to get Adonis auto-lynched?

poor fred but it's so true

 

[Post Ironic]

Not yet, still unlikely she'll be recruited. Also, don't know if the D is real. We could use her powers still, and we haven't come close to a G yet, while 6 Cs are dead.

Btw, I find that you voted for me very quietly today. Why?

If Kate kills another C she loses her powers. The earliest she could possibly have a confirmed G from an investigation by the D, is the day after tomorrow. That means the G's have two days to think about recruiting her before she can really be of any use.

Now she could also attempt to get lucky tomorrow, and hit a G, and that would allow her a third kill. But if she got recruited today, or gets recruited tomorrow, or the day after... we're all screwed.