Mafia 2016 - مافيا ۲۰۱۶ (2 Viewers)

Collaguazo

Pezuña Brava
Mar 4, 2012
3,610
how confirmed is that?

both that hofferboffer is Detective and that he checked X and Colla?
It is weird. Why the detective didn't contact Alen? and why would the Gs know that Hagenboefer is the D as he claimed? He was barely active

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I'll try to make a breakdown, so the new players will understand:

1) The G's trying to whack the Bodyguard two days in a row is a strange thing to do. The normal thing would be to assume that the bodyguard protects himself both days, and for that reason whacking him two times normally wouldn't make sense.
2) For that reason it's obvious that (at least one of) the G's are experienced and knew Alen well enough to know what he would do.
3) I'd say that Osman, Fred and X are the three people who know Alen the best. You shouldn't rule me out either, but I think everyone who played mafia here here knows that I haven't played as many games with Alen as Osman, Fred and X.
4) Also, Alen mentioned specifically that he was suspicious of Osman and Fred: http://www.juventuz.com/threads/42636-Mafia-2016-مافيا-۲۰۱۶?p=5328607#post5328607
4) X was investigated as a civilian by Hængebøffer (the detective) today. That rules him out as a gangster.
5) Osman was inactive the whole day. I don't think he avoided the thread on purpose while instructing the G's behind the scenes. It is possible that he's a G and instructed the rest of the G's last night though. Still, seems very early to take such a big decision though. It would make more sense to wait a bit and look at how Alen plays on day 2.
6) That leaves me with Fred. While not being super suspicious in general, he fits the bill, and - unlike X and Osman - nothing speaks against him.

That's why I'm definitely going to vote on Fred tomorrow.
The problem is that Fred and Osman had been inactive. Hard to read them

What about radekas? He just seems anxious to see the world on fire :p
 

lgorTudor

Senior Member
Jan 15, 2015
32,951
It is weird. Why the detective didn't contact Alen? and why would the Gs know that Hagenboefer is the D as he claimed? He was barely active
According to Fred (if I got it correctly) Alen was pulling a maneuver to have the Gs whack somebody who he was protecting but they whacked him instead.

Regarding D-role Hofferboffer said
I investigated Colla on the first day, cause I thought he was the BG.
http://www.juventuz.com/threads/42636-Mafia-2016-مافيا-۲۰۱۶?p=5329972&viewfull=1#post5329972
Like why would you not investigate some experienced player to gain more intel than from investigating a noob? He said he panicked and acted 5 min til deadline but I'm reluctant to understand why he would look into you

And well, at this point I suspect pretty much every veteran is lying like crazy, even the experienced Cs, being it only to trick Gs into something.

There is some behind the lines shit going down
 

Maddy

Oracle of Copenhagen
Jul 10, 2009
16,545
Holy shit balls!

Alen :sergoi:

Meat Curtains :sergoi:

Mohad and Völler :sergoi: :lol:

I got the day off, so I'll post my view on this later (after the gym).

And for crying out loud: STAY FUCKING HIDDEN JAILOR. OTHERWISE GAME OVER.

/Team C

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Damn.. reading thru events last nite.

As always Alen's ego is his downfall :sergoi:

Kate is the most active I've ever seen.

Völler is right. Mohad seems to the ability to understand.

I'm fucken baffled why hængebøffer would leave the closet today? He'll be targetted today unles jailed, but then he'll be targetted tomorrow, and now the G's can recruit the lawyer/jailor with a far bigger chance. I understand the desperation to some extent. But damn.. why would the G's know who the D was?

Well I'll go thru the pages even more thoroughly later.
 

Basel93

Senior Member
Dec 24, 2014
1,572
giphy.gif

@Hængebøffer

Why would you reveal yourself? What could you possibly stand to gain from a stunt like that?
How could they possibly have pinpointed you from the information you provided? Granted it is very plausible but you coming out really has no advantages, as Maddy already mentioned now youll most certainly be whacked within the next 2 days.

Plus, how can we be so sure? Could this not be a ploy to gain 2 more days of C whacking and confusion among ourselves?

Anyway, im surprised Alen got whacked, i thought for sure hed protect himself. Yes Voller (I believe) did point out that its very rare for Gs to whack the BG in quick succession but when you find out who the BG after day 1 it makes perfect sense to try again as you do not want to whack prematurely and lose the chance of recruiting some good roles.
 

Völler

Always spot on
May 6, 2012
23,091
It is weird. Why the detective didn't contact Alen? and why would the Gs know that Hagenboefer is the D as he claimed? He was barely active
What the hell is going on here. Why would you reveal yourself Soren? That makes no sense unless I'm missing something.
I'm fucken baffled why hængebøffer would leave the closet today?
Why would you reveal yourself? What could you possibly stand to gain from a stunt like that?
I'll break it down:

1) The G's have a crooked cop who has the ability to snoop. Snooping means finding out who the detective investigated.
2) Hængebøffer investigated Cullagazio on day one
3) Who has been after Hængebøffer the whole game? Cullagazio. He has been suspicious of him because of his sudden vacation.
4) For that reason, the G's will obviously suspect of Hængebøffer being the detecive. Because why would anyone else investigate Cullagazio of all people?

how confirmed is that?

both that hofferboffer is Detective and that he checked X and Colla?
Well, it's technically possible that Hængebøffer is a G trying to lure out the real detective. That said, I don't believe so. But if that's the case, the detective should stay hidden, unless he got several G's investigated.

The reason I don't believe Hængebøffer is faking is this:
1) Why sacrifice yourself as a G when you got the whole situation under control.
2) What would the G's (including Hængebøffer) be gaining by claiming X and Collaguazo are C's? It's not like Hængebøffer is asking us all to follow him now. He doesn't have any information that makes the situation different for us. Fred was always going to be the most obvious lynch choice today, no matter what.
3) Hængebøffer will die tomorrow night if he's the detective. If not, it's not like he managed to manipulate us into voting for someone else.
 

Maddy

Oracle of Copenhagen
Jul 10, 2009
16,545
2) Hængebøffer investigated Cullagazio on day one
3) Who has been after Hængebøffer the whole game? Cullagazio. He has been suspicious of him because of his sudden vacation.
4) For that reason, the G's will obviously suspect of Hængebøffer being the detecive. Because why would anyone else investigate Cullagazio of all people?.
See this is my problem. Why would anyone ever investigate someone just 'cause they are suspicious of you?
And why would an experienced player want to find out the role of a confused newbie day 1?
Why not pick Alen, Osman, Fred, X etc.; all players likely to be any detectives candidate day 1? By investigating Colla you make yourself a target for the G's if they snoop in the results.

I'm sorry but I can't make heads or tails of hængebøffers choices. They make zero sense to me. Either he's playing us or he's not up to his usual game.
 

Völler

Always spot on
May 6, 2012
23,091
See this is my problem. Why would anyone ever investigate someone just 'cause they are suspicious of you?
And why would an experienced player want to find out the role of a confused newbie day 1?
Why not pick Alen, Osman, Fred, X etc.; all players likely to be any detectives candidate day 1? By investigating Colla you make yourself a target for the G's if they snoop in the results.

I'm sorry but I can't make heads or tails of hængebøffers choices. They make zero sense to me. Either he's playing us or he's not up to his usual game.
Well, it doesn't make much sense that he investigated Cullagazio on day one. It's an obvious blunder. But if he is a G and indeed playing us, what is he really gaining? It's not like he's asking us to follow him and vote for someone.
 

Maddy

Oracle of Copenhagen
Jul 10, 2009
16,545
Well, it doesn't make much sense that he investigated Cullagazio on day one. It's an obvious blunder. But if he is a G and indeed playing us, what is he really gaining? It's not like he's asking us to follow him and vote for someone.
Welp. You are right. I assume Søren just fucked up day 1 in his vacation-state of mind or (and this theory needs to be kept secret for the tiem being, since there are G's reading this shit and I need to go thru all 43 pages before making a judgement)
 

radekas

( ͠° ͟ل͜ ͡°)
Aug 26, 2009
20,258
I'll break it down:

1) The G's have a crooked cop who has the ability to snoop. Snooping means finding out who the detective investigated.
2) Hængebøffer investigated Cullagazio on day one
3) Who has been after Hængebøffer the whole game? Cullagazio. He has been suspicious of him because of his sudden vacation.
4) For that reason, the G's will obviously suspect of Hængebøffer being the detecive. Because why would anyone else investigate Cullagazio of all people?
This reminds me of my first game when I was the D. I suspected Maddy hard and investigated him on the 1st night. I realised on day 2 that this most likely meant that the Gs know me now. Then the Tomice-gate happened and I was sure. I had to reveal myself. So I kind of understand Soren at this point.

BUT

There are some key differences between his and mine situation.

Firstly when it happened to me, the BG was still in the game and nobody knew who it was. Revealing myself was the only way to save my skin (it failed because of the Jailer though :stupid:). Secondly I had a really valid information for the Cs, which is that Tomice is almost certainly a G.

Now Soren revealing himself doesn't save him. The whole "Gs know who I am" was an educated guess. It might be true but it wasn't 100% certain unless the Gs tried to lure Soren into a trap like they tried with me in that game.
Soren revealing himself doesn't give us any Gs too, unless Soren has some more information which he is still hiding.

Generally speaking there wasn't much to gain when Soren revealed himself. The only possibly real and important information is confirming X and Colla as Cs. I don't think that's enough for the D to reveal himself.
 

Völler

Always spot on
May 6, 2012
23,091
Can you at least post your thoughts about the last two pages?

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Now Soren revealing himself doesn't save him. The whole "Gs know who I am" was an educated guess. It might be true but it wasn't 100% certain unless the Gs tried to lure Soren into a trap like they tried with me in that game.
Soren revealing himself doesn't give us any Gs too, unless Soren has some more information which he is still hiding.
Well, it would only be an educated guess for the G's, but whacking Søren would be the obvious thing to do. I understand why he revealed himself, even if he only knows about two C's.
 

Maddy

Oracle of Copenhagen
Jul 10, 2009
16,545
Well, it would only be an educated guess for the G's, but whacking Søren would be the obvious thing to do. I understand why he revealed himself, even if he only knows about two C's.
I don't. I wouldn't be able to guess it was Søren that was the D from those investigations. I would guess it was a newbie.

Søren wouldn't fucken investigate Colla.

Something's rotten in the small fishing town of Gilleleje.
 

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