Calcio Debate: Who Will Win The Battle For Fourth Place?
With just seven games of the Serie A season left, four teams are fighting it out for the final Champions League place. Carlo Garganese asks - who will win the battle?
Isn’t it refreshing to reach the business end of the Serie A season with everything still to play for?
Inter and Roma, separated by four points, are both fighting for the Scudetto, and any more slip-ups could even allow Juventus the chance of an unlikely challenge.
The battle at the basement is also intriguing. Just three points separate the bottom six teams, with four of these all level on 29 points.
Perhaps the most exciting spectacle of all however, is the tussle for the final Champions League position.
Fiorentina 53 31 15 8 8 45 32
Udinese 50 31 14 8 9 42 39
Milan 49 31 13 10 8 45 27
Sampdoria 49 31 14 7 10 44 37
Any of the above four teams could clinch the fourth place currently occupied by Fiorentina.
The Viola are in pole position, however their form recently in Serie A has been inconsistent. In their last eight matches they have won four, lost four.
Udinese and Sampdoria are the teams with momentum. The Zebrette are unbeaten in six, and have won three on the bounce, including a 3-1 win over Fiorentina last weekend. Samp meanwhile have also not lost in six, and have won four of their last five matches.
In terms of prestige, Milan probably believe they have a God-given right to be in the Champions League, a competition that, until this season, they had dominated for five years.
The Rossoneri’s form is the worst of all these teams, winning just two from seven, and losing three of their last four matches. They also face a tough run-in, having to play Juventus and Napoli away, Inter in the derby, as well as a potential decider with Udinese at San Siro on the final day.
Udinese and Samp also have some tough fixtures though. As well as facing each other at the Stadio Friuli in week 34, the former also has to play Roma at home, while the latter’s last four fixtures reads Fiorentina, Roma, Palermo, Juventus.
Fiorentina may be considered as favourites due to the fact that of their seven remaining games, five are against Reggina, Palermo, Parma (all home), and Cagliari, Torino (away). The other two are against Samp and Inter.
However the Viola’s participation in the UEFA Cup may drain their resources, and they face the first of two tough quarter final matches against Dutch champions PSV Eindhoven tonight.
It also must be noted that it is often the relegation teams fighting for their lives who are the toughest to play at this stage of the season. The fact that there are so many clubs who could go down means that no one can be taken for granted.
Injuries will also play a part. Milan have a whole host of players out. Massimo Oddo and Ronaldo’s seasons are over, Alessandro Nesta is also sidelined, while those who are fit, appear to be on their last legs having played so many games in 2008.
Sampdoria will surely be rejuvenated by the return from suspension of the mercurial Antonio Cassano, who on his day can single-handedly lead his team to victory. Udinese have Antonio Di Natale as their star man, while Fiorentina of course can rely on the brilliant Adrian Mutu. This is the time for the big players to drag their teams over the finishing line, meaning that Milan will be praying that a certain Kaka can overcome his injury problems and start firing.
Predicting who will finish fourth is a really impossible task. If I was forced for an answer I would probably have to say Fiorentina, as Udinese and Samp may lack the experience, while Milan just look so tired that not even a bottle of Viagra’s would revitalise them.
What is certain is that it’s sure to be a gripping final seven games to the Serie A season.
Goal.com