I always want Alex to start but this time I rather he didn't. Because if Italy loses they'll use him as a scapegoat, and for his sake I don't want that. What I think will best taking this into mind :
- If Italy is leading and attacking well --> sub him in to finish France off (60th).
- If it's a draw and coming to penalties --> sub him in like against Germany (105th).
- If Italy is losing --> sub him only at the very very end. First sub in Inzaghi. I'm not a big fan but he can score from the bench too... let him have his chances first. Only as a third sub put our Alex in for a miracle (80th+?).
Also, I think that the most natural sub is Camo for Del Piero, but Camoranesi might not be starting (De Rossi might) which kinds of mixes up everything. You never know what to expect with Lippi and I assume that if it will go to penalties, Totti will be kept on the pitch, just like the case with germany. The other sub Lippi likes is of course Toni for Gilardino which I expect to probably happen again , even if Toni explodes and scores.