++ [ originally posted by Primo ] ++
Last season:
Scored: 64
Conceded: 29
*This was at the end of last season.
This season: at the end of week 18
Scored: 41
Conceded: 21
Now wait. Let's look at this from a STATISTICAL point of view. This is theoretically correct, but realistically not.
There are 18 teams in Serie A minus Juventus. So 17 teams for Juventus to play times 2. So there are 34 games in each season. Last season, in 34 games:
We averaged 64/34 = 1.88 goals / game.
We averaged 29/34= 0.85goals against / game
So far this season,
We averaged 41/18 = 2.28 goals / game.
We averaged 21/18 = 1.17 goals against / game.
These statistics are not that bad but show an indication that we are not doing as well defensively but much better offensively. In fact the difference of the offense is .4 while the difference of the defense is .32. A clear indication that our offense has improved more than our defense has worsened.
Now, theoretically, at the end of the season we'll have
Scored : 76 goals. (64 last season)
Conceded : 36 goals. (29 last season)
This is of course a statistical approximation. Technically, at the end of this season we would have scored 12 more than last season and conceded 7 more.
Thats a 12:7 ratio, which is a pretty good bargain if you ask me. Score 12 more, but let 7 more in.
So not that big of a deal after all.
