Spain will crush Germany.
Don't be so sure. This match is likely to be closer than the odds indicate.
People have short memories, and ride on emotions. The public remember Spain's second half dominance over Russia. What's not shown on the highlights, is the fact that for 50 minutes, Spain was pretty much held at bay by a makeshift Russian defense and it was Russia who had the best chance in the opening half. And once the breakthrough came, the Russian collapse was inevitable, as they were forced to push people forward leaving their rear wide-openly exposed.
If you take a closer look you'll see that Spain's best matches (and the only matches where they comfortably won) were against the same team, Russia.
The Swedes held them pretty well and Spain needed a final second goal to beat them. Against Italy they didn't create a single chance in 120 minutes and i won't even count the hard fought win against Greece because it was Spain's second team.
Could it be that Russian style suits Spain and that's why they destroyed them ?
Spain's strength is their ball control and passing. Passing stretches the field, and accurate passing eliminates your opposition's transition game. Spain's weakness on the other hand, is physicality, especially when it comes to dealing with balls in the air. 2 of the 3 goals they've conceded, have been from headers off set pieces. And it's not hard to see why this is. Spain's lineup is the shortest on this Euro.
On the other hand, we all know where German's strength is. They are the tallest (or one of top 3 tallest) teams on this euro.
The question is : How will Spain, with a much smaller lineup, cope with German air balls into the box? The way Germany scored 3 times against Turkey and Portugal. Yes, Portugal, anyone remember them? Another team not dissimilar to Spain, that's technically gifted, but not the strongest physically. Odds were similar as this game too, with Germany being the underdog coming off 2 lack-luster performances which left many people writing them off.
Yes, the Germans weren't consistent at all but something the Germans have been, especially in the knockout stage, is that they are deadly efficient, and opportunistic. Meaning one who takes maximum advantage of his opportunities when presented upon. 6 shots on target and 6 goals for the Germans in last 2 matches.
And that's what counts. Football is not figure skating, you don't earn extra points for style.
Germany is my favorite to win the whole thing.