Italy out if Danes and Swedes draw 2-2
Italy face direct elimination from Euro 2004 whatever the result of their last match if Scandinavian rivals Denmark and Sweden play out a high-scoring draw of 2-2 or more in their final group game.
If that happens, Sweden´s late equaliser to earn a 1-1 draw
with Italy on Thursday in Porto would have cost the Italians
very dear indeed.
The situation in Group C is complicated to say the least.
At present Sweden and Denmark head the group with four
points from two matches and Italy follow with two after drawing
both of their games against the Scandinavians. Bulgaria, who
lost to both, are already eliminated.
If Italy beat Bulgaria, as expected, in Guimaraes on Tuesday
and Sweden and Denmark draw the same day in Porto, all three
would finish with five points.
Under tournament rules, the results of the three teams
against each other would then count -- so the matches against
Bulgaria would not be taken into immediate consideration.
This would leave all three teams on two points from the
draws with each other. In such a case, the teams with the
highest number of goals would then go through.
Sweden would by now be certain to qualify because they had
scored more goals against Italy in the 1-1 draw than Denmark did
in their 0-0 tie.
Italy´s goals total would stay on one. If the Denmark-
Sweden game finished 2-2, Denmark would have two goals for and
Sweden three, both more than Italy. The same would apply with
any higher scoring draw.
If the match finished 0-0, Denmark would be eliminated as
they would have no goals.
But it gets really complicated with a 1-1 draw. Sweden would
top the group with two goals and Italy and Denmark finish level
with one. At this point the team with the best result against
Bulgaria would qualify.
The Danes beat Bulgaria 2-0 so Italy would have to do better
in their last game.
Can Italy rely on the Nordic teams not to make an unofficial
pact to go for a 2-2 draw? Luckily for them, Scandinavians are
renowned for their honesty.
Of course, if Italy fail to beat Bulgaria, they would be
eliminated anyway.
On the other hand, if Sweden beat Denmark or vice versa, any
win against Bulgaria would see Italy through
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Can't believe it.
No reason why Denmark and Sweden won't play 2-2 to make it safe for both teams. 2-2 is a win-win score for them.
Stupid moron, Trap. Eat shit and DIE.