w/o Suarez and Lucas, it would depend on which City shows up for the game - vs the "normal" City from this year, not much of a chance, vs the "xmas edition" one, you have a pretty decent shot considering Gerard is back and will lift up the team.
My money is on a draw, though, literally
Except for Agger, Johnson, and Kuyt, the rest are all mediocre. I can see Gerrard being subbed in to add something extra because they really need all the help they can get.