So if this deal is correct, then the economic impact on the P&L is +2m in FY26 and +19.5m in FY27
This is because we get 2.5m for the loan fee + save 9.5m in gross wages but we are still going to expense 10m in amortization on his contract until the obligation is triggered. His book value at the time of the obligation will also be 30m - meaning no capital loss/gain.
If his replacement is O'Riley? I think his market value is ~22m but his wages is low in comparison (5m gross versus 9.5m gross for Luiz). So if they structure it similar - say 2m loan +20m option or obligation. O'Riley would cost us -7m in FY26, and -10m in FY27. So net of the 2 the operation costs us -5m in FY26 but then +9.5m in FY27 and beyond.