If we can keep a clean sheet for the first half, even if we don't score, we will qualify. they will have to take more risks when the time passes and we will have lots of space. If Tevez plays anywhere near the way he performed latley, he will score.
I'm not sure between 3-5-2 and 4-3-1-2 though. If Pogba was fit, I would certainly go for a back 4 with Marchisio as regista. But with Pirlo in the field, it might be too dangerous to play a back 4. Really hard decision for Max to make.