I think in this case we better play a 442 with Alex Sandro en Cuadrao on the wings. Alex Sandro is strong to push forward and his crosses are good. That is a + thing with Mandzukic in front. On the other hand he can support Evra when he struggles against Costa or Lahm.
Cuadrado idem with Alaba nd Ribery..
Buffonµ
Lichtsteiner-Bonucci-Barzagli-Evra
Cuadrado-Khedira-Pogba-Alex Sandro
Morata-Mandzukic
If we still have a chance after 70 minuten (1-1, 0-0 of something like that) i would swap into a 3412 and do this:
Out: Evra for Pereyra, Lichsteiner out for Rugani and Morata for Zaza
Buffon
Barzagli-Bon-Rugani
Cuadrado-Khedira-Pogba-Alex Sandro
Pereyra
Zaza-Mandzukic