I think Watson has the best chance to be a really good QB. He has the physical skills and the mental makeup to succeed. You could say that he has probably the most tested quarterback to come out in the last 10 years. 2 consecutive title games will do that to you. I am a fan of his, just not at #2. He needs to work on his decision making but I think he's coachable under the right tutelage. His football IQ, according to scouts, is very high.
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In regards to Garrett. I was watching Mike Mayock's mock draft last night (The only draft guy that I trust), and he said that Garrett played the 2nd half of the season last year with a high ankle sprain.
The concern is this "news" of him having played with an injury started coming out only after some (e.g. Warren Sapp) raised concerns about his football character.
For the record, my opinion and eval of Garrett has nothing to do with the noise being created of late - always have been in that boat.
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Which mediocre QB will we take in the first round tomorrow? I hope it's Watson. Mahomes has an arm, but he crazy.
My money would be on Mahomes as Trubisky and Watson are probably gone by then. Mahomes isn't a first round prospect and is the least NFL-ready of the top QBs and will need a lot of work till he is ready to start in the NFL ... This being said, 5 years from now, Mahomes could very well turn out to be the most successful QB of the group - long-term eval is total crap-shoot with this QB group, imo.
Agree with Serge - only QB I would take a chance at in the 1st would be Watson and even he has some very serious concerns about whether he would ever become a franchise QB at the NFL level. At least he has the mental make-up and character of a champ, unlike the other clowns, especially Trubisky - Watson shows leadership and heart in the big moments, Trubisky disappears in them.
This being said, Watson lacks accuracy and potentially ability to "read" the field i.e. go thru his progressions in reading defenses. Unless he overcomes these shortcomings, he will never be a great NFL QB ... but his high-character and leadership make him worthy of a shot as a 1st rounder.