I honetly think we're the biggest pre-favourite there has been since Milan in the early 90's.
We won easily last year despite a thin squad and many injuries, and for the first time in many years we've been able to confirm a scudetto winning team and strenghten it considerably. Look everywhere else and all our rivals have problems. Be they institutional, organisational, financial, squadwise, tifosi relation wise... they all suffer from something.
I've said elsewhere that I think Inter could end up 5th this season, but Crespo's transfer might change that- if they buy the players they actually NEED with the money and trust the options they have instead of just going for 'names'. Crespo/Vieri are superb names, but as a duo they haven't played a single good game together. The same kinda goes for the defensive pairing Canna-Cordoba which has the same problem. Superb players individually, but not a good pair. When Materazzi get's thrown into the mix it suddenly becomes a functional unit, but at the same time the individual quality goes down- making the defence less than scary (in my view- obviously Materazzi is scary in himself

). IN the end- despite he fact that I think Crespo leaving might prove a blessing in disguise... with too many changes Inter will have to re-invent themselves and they could be off the race before they get it together.
Milan... their pre-season says it all really. Like Gabrielle Marcotti said in his weekly column at Sports Illustrated- their midfielders are too alike. Their passing is pedestrian. There's little verticalisation. The central defenders behind Nesta -Maldini all require consistent matches to play well (and can Maldini keep up with such amazing form again?). Milan has the squad to trouble us the most of course, but I really think they have major problems. The CL title (not a single impressive game since the 1-O win against Madrid) just clouded all their problems, and now it may well be too late to correct them.
Roma... biggest threat in my view. Squadwise they're not stronger than the milanese of course, but they're not in CL and their first 11 is superb. They need to avoid as many disciplinary problems as last year, but they're extremely hungry, and they have a FANTASTIC central core (I still think the Chivu transfer will come through) in Samuel/Chivu, Emerson, Totti. At the same time- noone should forget how BRILLIANT talents Cassano, De Rossi and D'Agostino actually are. Questionmarks because they aren't proven of course. Much rests on Montella though. Unless they succeed in getting the 'heavy' striker Capello wants- they will have to hope Montella finds the form of yesteryear. But I think he will. Still- we have superb depth compared to them.
Lazio: Great team and first 11 of course. In many ways a more consistent unit than Roma I think, but with CL they will be dragged thin, as they're very thin on quality in attack and central defence. Stam has to hold it all together and Miha won't be able to play both CL and serieA consistently. Not at the level he played last year at least. Then- behind them... Couto and Negro..
Lopez, Corradi and Simone Inzaghi. They're good, but it's not much, and with one injury... or one out of form player... I don't see them lasting. They'll play some entertaining football though.
Yes... scudetto is ours. I can't see it any other way, although CL will be first priority. The thing is that this season we can afford to rest players (unless for a silly number of injuries) and still play ultra competent lineups in serieA. I mean- last year at Madrid we played Tudor-Conte in central midfield because Davids and Tacchi were suspended. This year we can play Appiah-Maresca... We suffered creatively when DP was injured last year- now there's Miccoli. Di Vaio was awful most of the year. He seems to ahve gelled in now. Trez was away for half the season. This year he isn't (although he is still not Trezeguet yet). Nedved remains a unique player with no immediate replacement, but we have several options in terms of mixing it up. This is now, in my opinion, our only 'issue'. If we can mix it up in his absence. We should be able to with the players we have.
28 Ladies and Gentlemen
NB: To everyone who hasn't yet- go and read AMOROSO's pre-season run down at Xtratime. I think it's a great intro, and to those who don't really feel in tune with all the other teams it's a great read. It's here:
http://www.xtratime.com/forums/showthread.php?threadid=115099