Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,234
Right, hyperinflations...I'm loosing my mind. Maybe, I just don't see many news about it...it should be pretty big a deal. When do you roughly expect to hit you guys?
Well, the mainstream media wouldn't report on something like this. But many experts like Marc Faber go on tv and provide his opinions on the matter.

When will major inflation hit? Hard to say, but I don't think it will for at least another year. Nothing has really changed in our economy because the banks still have bad assets and aren't lending, home prices are still falling because they need to, unemployment is still rising, so I think we will continue seeing a debt deflationary spiral, meaning the stock market will go down. The only thing that has changed is that foreign governments are getting pissed that we are recklessly printing money, so they are trying to dump the dollar, which would cause inflation.

So I'd say that in anywhere from 1 year to 5 years time we will see major inflation. It really depends on how serious foreign governments are in getting out of the dollar.

Can you tell America for me, that I would really like it if that didn't happen.

I don't blame the chinese for investing in what are seemingly more valuable commodities though. If you're right, and hyperinflation does hit the US it may mean the emergence of a new dominant economy.
What the Chinese are doing is hedging against the US dollar by buying those commodities. They are incredibly smart in doing so because they're also buying commodities cheaply.

Hyperinflation or stagflation in the US would be the worst possible scenario. China and Russia are already proposing a new 'world' currency, so tensions are mounting between Washington, Beijing and Moscow. Compound this with the fact that our central bank wants to inflate our way out of this mess, it's clear that all roads lead to inflation in the long run.

But considering everything is tied to the dollar, both the US and Asia could be in the same boat until they get out of it. That's why it would be in China's best interest to end this global dollar Ponzi scheme of buying debt that won't be repaid.
 

Red

-------
Moderator
Nov 26, 2006
47,024
The UK is in the same sinking ship as we are. :D
I know.

Aberdeen hasn't been hit nearly as hard by the recession as most places, though.

We have our own wee economy due to the oil. Unemployment hasn't risen so much and property prices haven't fallen as severely.

Interesting that the Chancellor is one of the more cautious folk around. A lot of folk that appear on the news or whatever seem to claim the worst is past, but he seems to be continuing doing the same thing as he was before (pumping money into the economy).
 

swag

L'autista
Administrator
Sep 23, 2003
84,788
Sorry, folks. The real hedge investments now are whiskey, cigarettes, and ammunition. :weee:

I'm ready for the Mad Max apocalypse, are you?
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,234
I know.

Aberdeen hasn't been hit nearly as hard by the recession as most places, though.

We have our own wee economy due to the oil. Unemployment hasn't risen so much and property prices haven't fallen as severely.

Interesting that the Chancellor is one of the more cautious folk around. A lot of folk that appear on the news or whatever seem to claim the worst is past, but he seems to be continuing doing the same thing as he was before (pumping money into the economy).
You'll be in big trouble once that North Sea oil dries up. BP found somewhat of a replacement in the Gulf of Mexico, but extraction costs will be astronomical.
 

Red

-------
Moderator
Nov 26, 2006
47,024
You'll be in big trouble once that North Sea oil dries up. BP found somewhat of a replacement in the Gulf of Mexico, but extraction costs will be astronomical.
Yes and no.

There will inevitably be as hit, but it may not be too bad.

There is already quite a lot of stuff happening to make Aberdeen and Scotland a fairly important place when it comes to renewable energy technology.
 

Red

-------
Moderator
Nov 26, 2006
47,024
Roughly how much oil is left in the North Sea?
Depends on the price of oil.

If it is high, there is quite a bit, but it would become increasingly expensive and difficult to get it.

There's maybe 25 years worth or so left.

Imports are going to be hard to come by when we're back to paddleboats for trans-Atlantic trade. Anything made as whiskey on this side of the pond comes with an 'e'.

C'mon, Red, show some respect for your locals!

Real whisky doesn't have an 'e', just shitty knock-offs. :p
 

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 0, Guests: 143)