Interesting shit going on with modeling the coming Nor'Easter. The 0Z Canadian model has us smack dab in the center of heavy precip with the low tracking right over the Chesapeake, which would cause us to have mixing issues in the middle of the event. The UK model has the coastal low spinning up and strengthening right off Delmarva with the precip bands weaker towards the Northwest, which these models seem to always underrate. The latter scenario keeps us all snow over here in the Tri-state area but precip totals would be light. Other models have similar scenarios playing out... no storm center west of I-95, no completely off the shore path that leaves us with nothing, like the Christmas storm. That's good news.
The 0Z GFS model is running now, coming in with a more neutral trough over the South than the previous run, which is good news for the intensity of the upper level low. 30 some hours the trough in the height fields tilts negative... good sign. This run is looking good. Lets see.