Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
117,230
Andy, did you see my question 2 pages ago?
I responded before that. :D

Central bank policy announcement was today.



I'm not familiar with the Indian economy, but out west we will probably see negative GDP when government stimulus dries up. The data seen recently has shown we face tons of problems in the short and long term. There isn't any real recovery as long as unemployment remains high, no matter the GDP number.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
117,230
:oops: Must've missed that post. Makes sense. I guess your govt. or whoever is responsible will try to keep the unemployment as less as possible, thus making things worse?
It's more about the debt that needs to clear the system. The government will spend more and more on unemployment benefits, other "stimuli," and bailout more failed institutions, which will increase the deficit, while the private sector continues to lose jobs because demand isn't there. The government has tried to re-inflate credit expansion at a time when it must contract, so yes, they will make the problem worse. That's the faux-Keynesian way.

This sort of approach has never worked, and in fact we told Japan not to do it in the 90's. Then they had their "lost decade" filled with zombie banks and lethargic growth. The problem we face this time around is that not only consumers are broke, but so are cities, states and the overall government. That's why I think this will turn out worse than Japan.
 
Apr 15, 2006
56,641
It's more about the debt that needs to clear the system. The government will spend more and more on unemployment benefits, other "stimuli," and bailout more failed institutions, which will increase the deficit, while the private sector continues to lose jobs because demand isn't there. The government has tried to re-inflate credit expansion at a time when it must contract, so yes, they will make the problem worse. That's the faux-Keynesian way.

This sort of approach has never worked, and in fact we told Japan not to do it in the 90's. Then they had their "lost decade" filled with zombie banks and lethargic growth. The problem we face this time around is that not only consumers are broke, but so are cities, states and the overall government. That's why I think this will turn out worse than Japan.
I'm guessing there was no other way you could explain that to a layman like me other than keeping it simple. :D But I get what your saying. Thanks.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
117,230
Think about it on a personal level. If you're already maxed out on your credit cards, the answer isn't getting yet another credit card and maxing that out, too. :D

Night.

OK, time for some chicken and burgers before the match.
 

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