Yes, he stated that in the Dutch press. Don't forget, the Dutch, in general, like Italy. What Rafael thinks about Italy I don't know, but his wife will love it when he goes to Italy.
It depends for an important part on what the other offers are.
I think there has been put too much into his Spain connection. He will go to Spain when the sportive and financial aspects of the offer are the same, so not, he will go for the best offer. Just like almost every other football player.
At this moment Valencia and Athletico Madrid have made it public that they want him, and there are rumours about Arsenal( I don't believe that), Chelsea, Barcelona and Inter(don't worry about that one, Silvie hates Zlatan even more than Rafael).
I believe that Chelsea will be the tricky one. Ten Cate(assistent), Piet de Visser (scout) and Hiddink(very close with abrahmovic) are very big fans of Rafael, and Chelsea could use a player like him.