Stock Market (17 Viewers)

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,277
Surely they can't at this point with inflation what it is. Have to fight the current scenario vs the hypothetical I would imagine.
They have massive problems with inflation, obviously. But now they can say HEY, look over there! - pointing to the Russia stuff, so as it gets worse they can blame everything on them, which is what Biden and Psaki are already doing as well. If banks in Europe start failing or MBS' start tanking, they would be less inclined to raise rates, plus they might think commodities will go higher regardless of what they do cuz war. Very disastrous and horrible times ahead eventually.

- - - Updated - - -

I wish I had access to the US stock market :sad:
Just think of the US as Russia and you'll realize our stock market is closed until forever.

- - - Updated - - -

This is the most violent day in the stock market in a long time.
The VIX is only up 11% today, I want to see that thing go to 50% again, that's when the real fun begins.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,277
If you're into price action eventually falling back to trend... Take a look at that trendline off the March 2008 lows boys and girls. :bomba::shifty:



- - - Updated - - -

I'm seeing a lot of -6%, -8%, -10% stawks on my watchlist. VIX above 30 is usually a bad sign, plus /ES is below daily support and dropping fast after hours. Unless there is some after hours save tonight, this looks like shit.
 
Last edited:

lgorTudor

Senior Member
Jan 15, 2015
32,951
This is mostly because I put a bit of money in today, sorry.
Timing the bottom is an exercise in futility. One is never ill-advised to DCA into 3 red monthly candles, if history is anything to go by.

If all markets dumped 98% today then social media would be full of schizos telling you another 99% dump would occur tomorrow. Greed goes both ways.

Will it stop dumping? Probably not for a while. Is it reasonable to use all the doom and gloom as indicator to slowly DCA into the market? Definitely yes
 

campionesidd

Senior Member
Mar 16, 2013
16,907
Timing the bottom is an exercise in futility. One is never ill-advised to DCA into 3 red monthly candles, if history is anything to go by.

If all markets dumped 98% today then social media would be full of schizos telling you another 99% dump would occur tomorrow. Greed goes both ways.

Will it stop dumping? Probably not for a while. Is it reasonable to use all the doom and gloom as indicator to slowly DCA into the market? Definitely yes
That’s pretty much what I do for VOO. For individual stocks it’s more tricky, but I tend to buy more after poor earnings or bad news, because the market always oversells in these scenarios.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,277
I'm still watching PLTR here. January 2023 $20 calls for 89 cents doesn't seem like a bad risk/reward for a leap. Decent amount of volume on these with a delta of 0.27. It just needs to break this downtrend since the Fall and we should be in business. Not much else in terms of stawks I'm really liking right now, and chances are this one doesn't go to zero, so...


- - - Updated - - -

Timing the bottom is an exercise in futility. One is never ill-advised to DCA into 3 red monthly candles, if history is anything to go by.

If all markets dumped 98% today then social media would be full of schizos telling you another 99% dump would occur tomorrow. Greed goes both ways.

Will it stop dumping? Probably not for a while. Is it reasonable to use all the doom and gloom as indicator to slowly DCA into the market? Definitely yes
I'm hoping we go for the gap once and for all. And if so, I'll be in.

 
Last edited:
OP
AFL_ITALIA

AFL_ITALIA

MAGISTERIAL
Jun 17, 2011
31,834
  • Thread Starter
  • Thread Starter #1,153
    Timing the bottom is an exercise in futility. One is never ill-advised to DCA into 3 red monthly candles, if history is anything to go by.

    If all markets dumped 98% today then social media would be full of schizos telling you another 99% dump would occur tomorrow. Greed goes both ways.

    Will it stop dumping? Probably not for a while. Is it reasonable to use all the doom and gloom as indicator to slowly DCA into the market? Definitely yes
    I'm not realistically expecting to time the exact bottom tbh, but at least somewhat close on the upswing should lower my cost basis for most things pretty significantly. I think during the COVID drop I bought in mid-April or so? I was satisfied with that. I have about 60% in cash right now so I'll probably do both anyway :p
     

    Bjerknes

    "Top Economist"
    Mar 16, 2004
    116,277
    Crude up 8% again, probably going for an all-time high.

    Stocks down again.

    I'm actually hoping for another 2008 at this point. Inflation is the worst thing ever.
     

    Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 1, Guests: 14)