Global Financial Crisis (28 Viewers)

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
Funny thing is, there is actually something called DOOM puts, which are deep out the money put options.

Should have bought some like I wanted to.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
The CAC 40 and the DAX were all down over 3%, while the FTSE was down 2.5%.

Right now we are only down about .40% in equities but at times we were almost down 1.5%. So it's been a pretty crazy and awesomely volatile trading day.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
DUDE, this is fucking AWESOME. This recording is from yesterday when the crash was going on, straight from the S&P 500 open outcry pits.

The guy on the recording is yelling out the bids and offers for the S&P 500 futures contracts. So when he says 05's or 78 evens are trading, that is just an abbreviation for 1105 or 1078 in the S&P futures contracts.

Apparently JP Morgan and Merrill Lynch came in with massive buys towards the end, and that's why right after the crash the market went back up immediately. I wouldn't be surprised if they received a call from the Fed telling them to get their asses buying stuff immediately, but I can't prove that.

This whole thing looks suspicious, and no, it was not a lone trader. That's just media lies.

But listen to this, it's crazy pit trading at its best.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/panic-and-loathing-sp-500-pits
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
From ZeroHedge:

Euro (and the market) surging on rumors that the ECB is preparing to bail out 1,100 banks in Europe. And with that the bailout moves officially to Europe. From the dealer community:

CHATTER OF NEWS ECB LOAN FACILITY GOING AROUND

* Chatter of €600bn ECB loan facility to be announced over the weekend
* Terms mentioned are 1% for 1 year loans to cover 1,100 banks
* UNCONFIRMED - Euro is moving on this chatter

Imagine Lehman. Times 1,000. Now it gets fun.
1100 EURO BANKS NEED TO BE BAILED OUT???

We are past the event horizon when it comes to Europe. No amount of bailouts will save them now.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
From ZeroHedge:

Fed Preparing To Bail Out World Again: WSJ Reports Dollar Swap Lines Likely To Be Reopened By The Fed

Thanks to Leo for pointing out that the WSJ's Jon Hilsenrath has reported that the Fed is considering reopening swap lines with central banks, likely in conjunction with the rumored rescue package. This is the news that shot the market up in the last 10 minutes of trading as the Fed would never allow the market to close at the days lows, as it was preparing to do. "Apparently New York Fed President Dudley and Vice Chair Don Kohn are in Basel this weekend for an already scheduled meeting with European central bankers. A Sunday announcement seems like a growing possibility." Lehman weekends are back baby. And with that, we are paging Alan Grayson, who personally had a thing or two to tell the Fed lunatic about bailing out the world ever again without getting prior approval first.
We need an audit of the Federal Reserve NOW. This shit has got to stop. We cannot be held hostage by these financial terrorists at the Fed who are utterly destroying whatever real economy we have left.

All this means is that they will dish out dollars cheaply to buy the plummeting Euro. Just like they did with stocks, just like they did with subprimes, just like they did with certain bonds.

And in the end, these sort of policies only create more problems for OUR economy.

I don't care about Europe. I'd rather let them fail.
 

JBF

اختك يا زمن
Aug 5, 2006
18,451
If Europe fail, the Chinese will rape their market so hard that the Tibet will look like a virgin compared to them.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
Britain rejects Eurozone bailout fund
Posted 4 hours 7 minutes ago

European Union finance ministers meeting to consider ways to prevent the Greek debt crisis from spreading across Europe have hit a roadblock, with Britain announcing they will refuse to underwrite a bailout fund worth some $60 billion.

EU leaders are worried that financial markets will continue to lack confidence in countries with high deficits.

Officials and diplomats in Brussels hope that a stabilisation mechanism will calm the international markets' fears about default in Europe.

But the loan guarantees are too much for the UK to swallow, and the UK Treasury will have nothing to do with them. Without the UK onboard the package looks pretty thin.

Political acceptance from European countries is critical, but British officials say that the stabilisation mechanism is something old, that is already been used to help Hungary, Latvia and Romania , and something new - a set of potentially huge loan guarantees.

ABC

______________

So, apart from this, Merkel is losing her election base as Germans are pissed she signed off on bailing out Greece. I didn't think she would be dumb enough to do that, but she was, and now she will suffer the consequences by potentially not being re-elected.

But what is more important is that most likely Germany will NOT bail out other PIIGS nations and will NOT provide more stability to the Euro.

Things may start to unravel pretty quickly in Europe, faster than what we have seen in Greece. I'd urge preparedness to folks in any nation over there who have massive debt to GDP ratios. Get yourself out of debt as quickly as possible, keep yourself liquid, and get your money out of the banks calmly because they will eventually have bank holidays, meaning you can't get your money out.

I love that terminology. "Holllllllliday!" :scarf:
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
There is so much tripe in that article, I don't even know where to begin.

He bought into the job data hype in which the government couldn't even account for half the supposed jobs created last month, he said that the Greek contagion could spread when it already has (look at Portugal CDS, Italy CDS, et cetera, as well as credit spreads and banks all over Europe), and he alludes to the recent crash as capitulation in the market.

If so, then I'd like to see him put his money where his mouth is and buy stocks.

He talks about the crash, but then doesn't even mention the real issue as to why it happened... it was a NO BID situation and the high frequency trading programs went out and found bids in less liquid electronic markets.

The last time some clown said the words "capitulation" and "market", we saw the below happen... in October of 2008.

This article sounds like the typical CNBC propaganda of, "all is well, just buy stocks!" Folks need to be real careful here.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
Political doctrine - meet Newton's third law. Headline from Reuters. This will serve as a huge setback to a consolidated European rescue of not only Greece but all PIIGS (and then all of Europe itself).

From Reuters:

Chancellor Angela Merkel's centre-right coalition parties failed to retain their majority in a state vote on Sunday, an exit poll showed, robbing her government of a majority in the upper house of parliament.

An exit poll by ARD television put Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU) on 34.5 percent and their Free Democrat (FDP) allies on 6.5 percent, short of a majority and leaving the make up of North Rhine-Westphalia's next government unclear.

The CDU and FDP have ruled in the state -- Germany's most populous -- since 2005, when they won 44.8 percent and 6.2 percent of the vote respectively.

Their loss of a majority in the state -- and as a consequence in the federal upper house -- means Merkel will have to rely on opposition parties for support for her policy programme, which includes tax cuts, health reform and extending the lives of some nuclear power plants.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/br...jority-german-state-vote-according-exit-polls

Looks like we need an atomic bomb smiley for more reasons than one.
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,664
At the very end he actually said to keep your money out of the stock market unless you're a long term investor. Must have been his conscious.

Then he said "I really have no idea what's going on".

Interesting stream of confusion.

The best thing is he has a link on his blog site that is to a guy who says simply "Get out".
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127
But notice how he was painting a more rosy picture than what is really happening right now.

This is the modus operandi of much of the financial media.

If he doesn't know what's going on, then what is he doing writing this article? Or better yet, why does he have his own column?

Perhaps he isn't a trader, but even average investors can figure out what happened on Thursday.

I guess I'll give him some credit though -- he didn't mention the "fat finger" trader lie, unlike CNBC. That was just a straight LIE. I bet traders all over the world were laughing their asses off at that one... I know I was.
 

Bjerknes

"Top Economist"
Mar 16, 2004
116,127

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